1 00:00:15,680 --> 00:00:11,810 okay hello everyone so next in our 2 00:00:18,200 --> 00:00:15,690 series of webinars are just a couple of 3 00:00:21,410 --> 00:00:18,210 points for anyone who hasn't attended 4 00:00:24,109 --> 00:00:21,420 any of in previous ones the slides for 5 00:00:27,470 --> 00:00:24,119 this event are now directly linked from 6 00:00:30,529 --> 00:00:27,480 the events entry on the astrobiology 7 00:00:32,959 --> 00:00:30,539 website so if you are watching this 8 00:00:35,840 --> 00:00:32,969 little later date or your only dialed in 9 00:00:40,459 --> 00:00:35,850 to the telecom you can pull down the 10 00:00:44,180 --> 00:00:40,469 slides and what work along with us the 11 00:00:46,850 --> 00:00:44,190 video for this will be up probably in 12 00:00:49,760 --> 00:00:46,860 about a week's time as we're going 13 00:00:52,069 --> 00:00:49,770 through the webinar by all means pop 14 00:00:54,700 --> 00:00:52,079 your questions or thoughts into the text 15 00:00:57,020 --> 00:00:54,710 chat will note them at the bottom 16 00:00:58,970 --> 00:00:57,030 everything is being recorded just so you 17 00:01:02,660 --> 00:00:58,980 know so we've got audio and torture 18 00:01:04,850 --> 00:01:02,670 typing with attribution and then at the 19 00:01:07,039 --> 00:01:04,860 end after the presentations will open up 20 00:01:11,810 --> 00:01:07,049 the phone lines and have the 21 00:01:14,000 --> 00:01:11,820 conversation ulema okay sure thank you 22 00:01:15,950 --> 00:01:14,010 Andy and thanks Estelle for making all 23 00:01:18,200 --> 00:01:15,960 this possible and I'd also like to thank 24 00:01:19,940 --> 00:01:18,210 time up and doctors ty Robinson and NT 25 00:01:22,160 --> 00:01:19,950 king who are hanging on the line there 26 00:01:23,600 --> 00:01:22,170 in case or any questions and I'm sure 27 00:01:25,820 --> 00:01:23,610 there will be that I can't answer or if 28 00:01:28,640 --> 00:01:25,830 they want to mention something that I 29 00:01:30,950 --> 00:01:28,650 forgot to mention today's topic is how 30 00:01:32,870 --> 00:01:30,960 can we identify habitable planets and 31 00:01:35,450 --> 00:01:32,880 search for life beyond our solar system 32 00:01:37,310 --> 00:01:35,460 this follows on yesterday's presentation 33 00:01:38,630 --> 00:01:37,320 pretty directly yesterday I don't 34 00:01:40,719 --> 00:01:38,640 remember the exact wording but it was 35 00:01:43,880 --> 00:01:40,729 something like how can we identify 36 00:01:45,620 --> 00:01:43,890 habitable environments inside the solar 37 00:01:48,289 --> 00:01:45,630 system and so this is sort of 38 00:01:50,840 --> 00:01:48,299 integrating that over a sphere a globe 39 00:01:53,030 --> 00:01:50,850 and looking at the debt sphere from far 40 00:01:55,160 --> 00:01:53,040 far away in other words for planets 41 00:01:57,590 --> 00:01:55,170 around other stars as opposed to planets 42 00:01:59,600 --> 00:01:57,600 in our own solar system I am also means 43 00:02:02,060 --> 00:01:59,610 remote detection of both habitability in 44 00:02:04,069 --> 00:02:02,070 life we're going to follow the same sort 45 00:02:06,170 --> 00:02:04,079 of nucleus of people with a third 46 00:02:08,660 --> 00:02:06,180 actually the fourth telecom after the 47 00:02:10,279 --> 00:02:08,670 new year that parrots the second part of 48 00:02:12,949 --> 00:02:10,289 this which is the search for life inside 49 00:02:13,710 --> 00:02:12,959 the solar system so we we did a search 50 00:02:16,800 --> 00:02:13,720 for habitable and 51 00:02:17,880 --> 00:02:16,810 inside the solar system yesterday today 52 00:02:19,530 --> 00:02:17,890 we're doing the search for habitable 53 00:02:21,480 --> 00:02:19,540 planets and the search for life beyond 54 00:02:22,710 --> 00:02:21,490 the solar system and in a few months 55 00:02:24,420 --> 00:02:22,720 because we're still working on the 56 00:02:26,790 --> 00:02:24,430 document will do a search for life 57 00:02:28,260 --> 00:02:26,800 inside the solar system white paper and 58 00:02:30,750 --> 00:02:28,270 the reason that we've smushed the two 59 00:02:32,190 --> 00:02:30,760 together in for exoplanets of a search 60 00:02:34,440 --> 00:02:32,200 for life and habitable environments 61 00:02:36,150 --> 00:02:34,450 together outside the solar system is 62 00:02:37,770 --> 00:02:36,160 that the techniques are really similar 63 00:02:39,390 --> 00:02:37,780 and a lot of the driving questions are 64 00:02:41,430 --> 00:02:39,400 very interrelated this we're going to 65 00:02:44,370 --> 00:02:41,440 see today one other just housekeeping 66 00:02:45,900 --> 00:02:44,380 note the format I'm presenting with 67 00:02:48,780 --> 00:02:45,910 today and the foreman of our document is 68 00:02:50,490 --> 00:02:48,790 a new template that Michael new gave me 69 00:02:52,199 --> 00:02:50,500 last Friday that we're trying to 70 00:02:55,199 --> 00:02:52,209 implement so we're sort of the lab rats 71 00:02:56,940 --> 00:02:55,209 for that or lab microbes as most of our 72 00:02:59,070 --> 00:02:56,950 community tend to work with smaller 73 00:03:01,410 --> 00:02:59,080 organisms as opposed to the macro 74 00:03:03,270 --> 00:03:01,420 organisms but if you want to take a look 75 00:03:05,010 --> 00:03:03,280 at this and implement it yourselves feel 76 00:03:07,620 --> 00:03:05,020 free to do so I found it pretty useful 77 00:03:09,150 --> 00:03:07,630 it follows on the templates that a 78 00:03:12,360 --> 00:03:09,160 couple of groups have been using the 79 00:03:14,520 --> 00:03:12,370 last two weeks that both the authors and 80 00:03:16,260 --> 00:03:14,530 the community have seemed to enjoy so 81 00:03:19,170 --> 00:03:16,270 hopefully this goes well and if it 82 00:03:21,780 --> 00:03:19,180 doesn't let us know so with that said on 83 00:03:24,060 --> 00:03:21,790 to our presentation this is fortunate 84 00:03:26,070 --> 00:03:24,070 and unfortunate timing in many ways I 85 00:03:27,870 --> 00:03:26,080 think it's unfortunate because we have 86 00:03:30,330 --> 00:03:27,880 lots of people either in California 87 00:03:32,430 --> 00:03:30,340 physically at NASA Ames or remotely 88 00:03:34,410 --> 00:03:32,440 tuning in to the meeting that's going on 89 00:03:36,900 --> 00:03:34,420 there right now which is the second 90 00:03:38,130 --> 00:03:36,910 Kepler science conference and on Monday 91 00:03:40,440 --> 00:03:38,140 at that conference there is an 92 00:03:43,170 --> 00:03:40,450 associated press release and press 93 00:03:45,120 --> 00:03:43,180 telecon about this announcement about an 94 00:03:47,449 --> 00:03:45,130 estimation of how many potentially 95 00:03:50,070 --> 00:03:47,459 habitable worlds there are in our galaxy 96 00:03:52,350 --> 00:03:50,080 and the answer is in the tens of 97 00:03:54,060 --> 00:03:52,360 billions now there are people in 98 00:03:56,070 --> 00:03:54,070 exoplanet community and I would actually 99 00:03:57,690 --> 00:03:56,080 say that most of the astrobiologists 100 00:03:59,220 --> 00:03:57,700 that populate the exoplanet community 101 00:04:02,400 --> 00:03:59,230 have some issues with the press 102 00:04:04,110 --> 00:04:02,410 conference of a paper with the exact 103 00:04:06,449 --> 00:04:04,120 percentage of stars that might have 104 00:04:09,570 --> 00:04:06,459 these potentially habitable worlds the 105 00:04:13,140 --> 00:04:09,580 big picture a number is still the same 106 00:04:14,670 --> 00:04:13,150 whether the qualitative conclusion still 107 00:04:16,680 --> 00:04:14,680 the same there's lots of potentially 108 00:04:18,570 --> 00:04:16,690 habitable worlds out there they say 40 109 00:04:20,039 --> 00:04:18,580 billion even people that might be a 110 00:04:22,260 --> 00:04:20,049 little bit more skeptical might put the 111 00:04:24,300 --> 00:04:22,270 number at 10 billion but at some point 112 00:04:26,159 --> 00:04:24,310 you don't need many more habitable 113 00:04:27,450 --> 00:04:26,169 planets it will affect telescope design 114 00:04:30,240 --> 00:04:27,460 and stuff like that but 115 00:04:32,129 --> 00:04:30,250 the big news here is really a sound 116 00:04:34,830 --> 00:04:32,139 there's a lot of habitable planets out 117 00:04:36,210 --> 00:04:34,840 there that we want to explore and so 118 00:04:38,400 --> 00:04:36,220 that leads us to the questions we'd like 119 00:04:39,990 --> 00:04:38,410 to answer over the next 10 years are 120 00:04:42,960 --> 00:04:40,000 they have bubble and if they are 121 00:04:44,460 --> 00:04:42,970 habitable do they have life and a lot of 122 00:04:46,680 --> 00:04:44,470 this text that you're going to see here 123 00:04:48,960 --> 00:04:46,690 is just copied and pasted from our 124 00:04:50,760 --> 00:04:48,970 document so if you see yourself reacting 125 00:04:53,249 --> 00:04:50,770 to this in a way that makes you think we 126 00:04:54,779 --> 00:04:53,259 forgot something or makes you think we 127 00:04:57,210 --> 00:04:54,789 said something that's incorrect please 128 00:04:58,439 --> 00:04:57,220 speak up and let us know because we need 129 00:05:01,020 --> 00:04:58,449 to get that into the document that's 130 00:05:02,400 --> 00:05:01,030 what this telecon is all about so the 131 00:05:05,370 --> 00:05:02,410 introduction I'm just going to 132 00:05:07,230 --> 00:05:05,380 paraphrase a bit exoplanetary sign so 133 00:05:09,330 --> 00:05:07,240 it's science about stars planets around 134 00:05:10,710 --> 00:05:09,340 other stars it's rapidly growing in part 135 00:05:13,620 --> 00:05:10,720 because our data set is rapidly growing 136 00:05:15,689 --> 00:05:13,630 and it's evolving in the near future we 137 00:05:17,400 --> 00:05:15,699 may be asked to prioritize these 138 00:05:19,320 --> 00:05:17,410 habitable planets that we're finding for 139 00:05:21,899 --> 00:05:19,330 targeted follow-up observations which is 140 00:05:23,790 --> 00:05:21,909 a lot we'll talk about today and those 141 00:05:26,010 --> 00:05:23,800 data will provide limited glimpses into 142 00:05:27,779 --> 00:05:26,020 the atmospheric and surface environments 143 00:05:29,520 --> 00:05:27,789 of those exoplanets and allow us to 144 00:05:32,189 --> 00:05:29,530 constrain the likelihood of surface 145 00:05:33,779 --> 00:05:32,199 liquid water in or life liquid water 146 00:05:35,550 --> 00:05:33,789 being the main thing that we used to 147 00:05:37,980 --> 00:05:35,560 discriminate potentially habitable 148 00:05:39,450 --> 00:05:37,990 versus not potentially habitable worlds 149 00:05:41,399 --> 00:05:39,460 and like being the thing that 150 00:05:43,920 --> 00:05:41,409 astrobiology is ultimately out there in 151 00:05:45,300 --> 00:05:43,930 the long run well with the accelerating 152 00:05:46,950 --> 00:05:45,310 rate of discovery of exoplanets you want 153 00:05:49,020 --> 00:05:46,960 to be able to target for observations 154 00:05:51,209 --> 00:05:49,030 those planets most likely to harbor 155 00:05:52,980 --> 00:05:51,219 liquid water and hence potentially so 156 00:05:54,420 --> 00:05:52,990 this is the first thing other than the 157 00:05:56,399 --> 00:05:54,430 title that you'll see in the template 158 00:05:58,020 --> 00:05:56,409 that we applied and this is just a 159 00:05:59,909 --> 00:05:58,030 summary of sort of where we're at this 160 00:06:02,430 --> 00:05:59,919 is also from that cupola me dancing I'm 161 00:06:05,070 --> 00:06:02,440 gonna leave that music and this is 162 00:06:06,719 --> 00:06:05,080 called a coupler or read three and 163 00:06:08,189 --> 00:06:06,729 rockets ring Roman numeral three if you 164 00:06:10,230 --> 00:06:08,199 want to look for this and yourself or 165 00:06:12,779 --> 00:06:10,240 use it in a talk this is a slide 166 00:06:14,640 --> 00:06:12,789 summarizing all of the coupler objects 167 00:06:15,659 --> 00:06:14,650 of interest and if you hear k live from 168 00:06:18,659 --> 00:06:15,669 that team that's what that represents 169 00:06:20,100 --> 00:06:18,669 this is all the planets or planet 170 00:06:22,050 --> 00:06:20,110 candidates that the Kepler mission has 171 00:06:23,909 --> 00:06:22,060 found and there are literally thousands 172 00:06:26,339 --> 00:06:23,919 of them many of them are terrestrial 173 00:06:27,689 --> 00:06:26,349 size many of them are in the habitable 174 00:06:29,550 --> 00:06:27,699 zone and many of them are both 175 00:06:31,560 --> 00:06:29,560 terrestrial sized and in the habitable 176 00:06:33,510 --> 00:06:31,570 zone and the question is how do we 177 00:06:35,070 --> 00:06:33,520 prioritize amongst all of these for 178 00:06:36,719 --> 00:06:35,080 future observations when we want to look 179 00:06:38,070 --> 00:06:36,729 for life and one of those big 180 00:06:39,839 --> 00:06:38,080 prioritization is going to be 181 00:06:40,650 --> 00:06:39,849 detectability which we're not going to 182 00:06:41,760 --> 00:06:40,660 talk a lot about 183 00:06:43,710 --> 00:06:41,770 we're going to talk more about the 184 00:06:45,420 --> 00:06:43,720 astrobiology signs of the other 185 00:06:47,010 --> 00:06:45,430 criterion for prioritization which is 186 00:06:49,050 --> 00:06:47,020 how likely is that planet the hard to 187 00:06:52,650 --> 00:06:49,060 life or at least to have the potential 188 00:06:54,540 --> 00:06:52,660 to harbor life so this is the next part 189 00:06:56,610 --> 00:06:54,550 of the template which is background just 190 00:06:58,320 --> 00:06:56,620 a couple paragraphs saying you know what 191 00:07:01,110 --> 00:06:58,330 is this all about and why is it related 192 00:07:02,670 --> 00:07:01,120 to astrobiology a habitable XO and I 193 00:07:04,380 --> 00:07:02,680 just took the topic sentences from those 194 00:07:06,900 --> 00:07:04,390 paragraphs so what this is all about is 195 00:07:08,790 --> 00:07:06,910 that a habitable planet is typically or 196 00:07:11,010 --> 00:07:08,800 traditionally defined as a world able to 197 00:07:12,330 --> 00:07:11,020 maintain liquid water on its surface and 198 00:07:14,160 --> 00:07:12,340 if you hear the words habitable zone 199 00:07:16,140 --> 00:07:14,170 that's generally what we're talking 200 00:07:17,880 --> 00:07:16,150 about if you hear earth-like potentially 201 00:07:20,850 --> 00:07:17,890 earth-like that's generally what people 202 00:07:22,590 --> 00:07:20,860 are referring to information provided by 203 00:07:24,320 --> 00:07:22,600 current exoplanet detection techniques 204 00:07:26,340 --> 00:07:24,330 and available or near future 205 00:07:28,080 --> 00:07:26,350 instrumentation instrumentation can 206 00:07:31,260 --> 00:07:28,090 begin to address the likelihood that a 207 00:07:32,820 --> 00:07:31,270 certain exoplanet acceptable so then the 208 00:07:34,980 --> 00:07:32,830 next thing you'll see in the template 209 00:07:36,630 --> 00:07:34,990 and in our document is a splitting up 210 00:07:38,850 --> 00:07:36,640 into subtopics you don't have to do this 211 00:07:40,650 --> 00:07:38,860 we found it useful because we're altima 212 00:07:42,450 --> 00:07:40,660 tlie addressing two questions the first 213 00:07:44,700 --> 00:07:42,460 about habitability and the second about 214 00:07:46,440 --> 00:07:44,710 license so for us you'll see some top 215 00:07:49,260 --> 00:07:46,450 agay characterizing potentially 216 00:07:51,180 --> 00:07:49,270 habitable exoplanets and then you'll see 217 00:07:53,580 --> 00:07:51,190 a subtopic beyond the search for life on 218 00:07:55,380 --> 00:07:53,590 those potentially habitable exoplanets 219 00:07:59,310 --> 00:07:55,390 and these are just a few of the bullets 220 00:08:01,890 --> 00:07:59,320 from our subtopic a explanation tourism 221 00:08:03,360 --> 00:08:01,900 pros form on the main document planet 222 00:08:05,790 --> 00:08:03,370 origins we want to know more about how 223 00:08:08,240 --> 00:08:05,800 they form which was a white paper we saw 224 00:08:10,040 --> 00:08:08,250 a couple weeks ago maybe a week ago 225 00:08:12,690 --> 00:08:10,050 composition of the interstellar medium 226 00:08:15,480 --> 00:08:12,700 accretion process is an orbital orbital 227 00:08:17,520 --> 00:08:15,490 evolutions this is how all about how the 228 00:08:19,890 --> 00:08:17,530 bolt planet forms what is it made of 229 00:08:22,250 --> 00:08:19,900 where is it located with regards to its 230 00:08:25,250 --> 00:08:22,260 star and does it have the elements and 231 00:08:27,630 --> 00:08:25,260 ideally the molecules that lightnings 232 00:08:29,940 --> 00:08:27,640 the next bullet here is a planet and 233 00:08:31,680 --> 00:08:29,950 system configuration what's the star 234 00:08:33,839 --> 00:08:31,690 type what is the stellar planetary 235 00:08:35,880 --> 00:08:33,849 system environment what is the planet's 236 00:08:37,650 --> 00:08:35,890 mass and the planet size what are its 237 00:08:39,659 --> 00:08:37,660 orbital parameters and what are what is 238 00:08:41,760 --> 00:08:39,669 its composition this is once you form 239 00:08:44,280 --> 00:08:41,770 that planet actually looking at how big 240 00:08:46,290 --> 00:08:44,290 is it if it's too big it might collapse 241 00:08:48,510 --> 00:08:46,300 a gas envelope around it and be more 242 00:08:49,860 --> 00:08:48,520 like Jupiter and you might prophesize 243 00:08:51,780 --> 00:08:49,870 about floaters or something like that 244 00:08:54,090 --> 00:08:51,790 living there I think that's way less 245 00:08:55,620 --> 00:08:54,100 likely and be if it is 246 00:08:57,540 --> 00:08:55,630 those types of organisms do exist 247 00:08:59,639 --> 00:08:57,550 they're going to be at I think a lot 248 00:09:01,319 --> 00:08:59,649 harder to detect spectroscopically from 249 00:09:02,840 --> 00:09:01,329 firelight which is something we'll get 250 00:09:05,610 --> 00:09:02,850 to later on in this presentation 251 00:09:07,199 --> 00:09:05,620 conversely if a planet is too small like 252 00:09:09,629 --> 00:09:07,209 the moon I think is a great example of 253 00:09:10,980 --> 00:09:09,639 this the moon is a rocky planet smack 254 00:09:13,379 --> 00:09:10,990 dab in the middle of the habitable zone 255 00:09:15,540 --> 00:09:13,389 right if it's just as much energy from 256 00:09:18,150 --> 00:09:15,550 its parent star the Sun that we get from 257 00:09:20,220 --> 00:09:18,160 our parents start his son but it's far 258 00:09:22,019 --> 00:09:20,230 too small to hold an atmosphere so it's 259 00:09:24,689 --> 00:09:22,029 not habitable that's why it's not 260 00:09:25,829 --> 00:09:24,699 habitable if the moon were the size of 261 00:09:27,900 --> 00:09:25,839 the earth and you looked in a true 262 00:09:29,519 --> 00:09:27,910 binary planet system the moon could 263 00:09:31,410 --> 00:09:29,529 potentially be habitable right but it's 264 00:09:33,809 --> 00:09:31,420 not so size size matters when it comes 265 00:09:35,610 --> 00:09:33,819 to exoplanets the stellar properties 266 00:09:37,620 --> 00:09:35,620 also matter it matters because that 267 00:09:40,019 --> 00:09:37,630 defines how far out you have to be from 268 00:09:42,360 --> 00:09:40,029 That star to get at the right amount of 269 00:09:43,920 --> 00:09:42,370 energy to maintain liquid water it also 270 00:09:46,019 --> 00:09:43,930 matters because the distribution of 271 00:09:48,090 --> 00:09:46,029 energy from short wavelength DV photons 272 00:09:50,009 --> 00:09:48,100 of longer wavelengths visible and 273 00:09:51,689 --> 00:09:50,019 infrared photons really affects the 274 00:09:53,370 --> 00:09:51,699 chemistry of the atmosphere and that in 275 00:09:54,590 --> 00:09:53,380 turn can affect both the habitability of 276 00:09:56,430 --> 00:09:54,600 the planet because it's those 277 00:09:57,930 --> 00:09:56,440 atmospheric chemicals that are causing 278 00:10:00,240 --> 00:09:57,940 the greenhouse effect that maintain 279 00:10:02,249 --> 00:10:00,250 habitability and it can affect the bio 280 00:10:03,689 --> 00:10:02,259 signatures because the biosignatures for 281 00:10:05,970 --> 00:10:03,699 the most part are ultimately going to be 282 00:10:07,980 --> 00:10:05,980 gaseous although nancy has some great 283 00:10:09,230 --> 00:10:07,990 ideas on non gaseous power signatures 284 00:10:12,240 --> 00:10:09,240 that will hopefully talk about later 285 00:10:13,559 --> 00:10:12,250 finally planet evolution the ability to 286 00:10:15,449 --> 00:10:13,569 maintain liquid surface water a 287 00:10:17,309 --> 00:10:15,459 habitability factor if your tongue I've 288 00:10:20,610 --> 00:10:17,319 talked about the surface water quite a 289 00:10:22,050 --> 00:10:20,620 bit and I should say let me pause here 290 00:10:23,329 --> 00:10:22,060 for a second we use the word habitable 291 00:10:25,920 --> 00:10:23,339 zone and that can be controversial 292 00:10:28,290 --> 00:10:25,930 within the planetary sciences community 293 00:10:30,389 --> 00:10:28,300 because those folks know of planets like 294 00:10:31,860 --> 00:10:30,399 Europa that are clearly habitable even 295 00:10:33,569 --> 00:10:31,870 though it's well outside the habitable 296 00:10:35,550 --> 00:10:33,579 zone same thing with piping and sell it 297 00:10:38,730 --> 00:10:35,560 is and pretty much any proposed outer 298 00:10:40,590 --> 00:10:38,740 solar system both abode for life it also 299 00:10:42,780 --> 00:10:40,600 has been controversial within the 300 00:10:44,340 --> 00:10:42,790 exoplanet community because they want us 301 00:10:45,780 --> 00:10:44,350 to think outside the box when it comes 302 00:10:47,370 --> 00:10:45,790 to looking for life they you know 303 00:10:49,350 --> 00:10:47,380 there's been proposals of dry planets 304 00:10:51,509 --> 00:10:49,360 that might have an expanded habitable 305 00:10:53,490 --> 00:10:51,519 zone or hydrogen dominated atmospheres 306 00:10:55,470 --> 00:10:53,500 that might maintain liquid water oceans 307 00:10:57,480 --> 00:10:55,480 far far away from the star and outside 308 00:11:00,749 --> 00:10:57,490 the classical or canonical or past 309 00:11:01,620 --> 00:11:00,759 accountable zone and I think that you 310 00:11:02,910 --> 00:11:01,630 know there might be room for a 311 00:11:05,009 --> 00:11:02,920 discussion about a better term than 312 00:11:06,960 --> 00:11:05,019 habitable zone because we're really 313 00:11:09,449 --> 00:11:06,970 referring to there is a specific 314 00:11:11,249 --> 00:11:09,459 type of habitability that allows us to 315 00:11:13,230 --> 00:11:11,259 probe that planet from life from far 316 00:11:16,559 --> 00:11:13,240 away and what that really means is a 317 00:11:19,530 --> 00:11:16,569 planet that has or can maintain a large 318 00:11:21,090 --> 00:11:19,540 enough biosphere to produce a very large 319 00:11:24,059 --> 00:11:21,100 atmospheric or at least spectroscopic 320 00:11:25,710 --> 00:11:24,069 signature that can be seen through all 321 00:11:27,059 --> 00:11:25,720 the noise provided by the star because 322 00:11:29,009 --> 00:11:27,069 the stars much brighter than the planet 323 00:11:30,990 --> 00:11:29,019 to the planet the planet the biosphere 324 00:11:32,879 --> 00:11:31,000 better be producing a whopping big 325 00:11:34,379 --> 00:11:32,889 signature if we're going to be able to 326 00:11:36,360 --> 00:11:34,389 see it from far away against the 327 00:11:37,829 --> 00:11:36,370 background of the star and all of the 328 00:11:40,769 --> 00:11:37,839 things that the planet is doing that arc 329 00:11:41,910 --> 00:11:40,779 biology so that's why we have focused on 330 00:11:43,619 --> 00:11:41,920 liquid water it's not because we're 331 00:11:45,389 --> 00:11:43,629 excluding other kinds of life it's 332 00:11:47,369 --> 00:11:45,399 because we know how to detect that and 333 00:11:48,900 --> 00:11:47,379 it's going to be frankly a lot easier to 334 00:11:51,449 --> 00:11:48,910 detect even if we had some theoretical 335 00:11:53,999 --> 00:11:51,459 way to detect non-water based life or 336 00:11:55,710 --> 00:11:54,009 non certain on surface biospheres the 337 00:11:58,050 --> 00:11:55,720 habitability factor is basically a 338 00:12:00,269 --> 00:11:58,060 quantitative means of assessing the 339 00:12:01,860 --> 00:12:00,279 likelihood that a planet has liquid 340 00:12:03,769 --> 00:12:01,870 water and if we want to go beyond liquid 341 00:12:06,059 --> 00:12:03,779 water which I think we should get to 342 00:12:07,829 --> 00:12:06,069 also those factors as well so 343 00:12:09,869 --> 00:12:07,839 habitability fact you could imagine it 344 00:12:11,460 --> 00:12:09,879 as integrating over all the parameter 345 00:12:13,530 --> 00:12:11,470 space of a particular planet and 346 00:12:15,299 --> 00:12:13,540 assessing the likelihood at that planet 347 00:12:17,999 --> 00:12:15,309 has life or at least has the conditions 348 00:12:20,639 --> 00:12:18,009 amenable to life okay so here are some 349 00:12:22,230 --> 00:12:20,649 sub questions on subtopic aids so this 350 00:12:23,819 --> 00:12:22,240 would be the next thing in each sub 351 00:12:25,499 --> 00:12:23,829 topic you'll have an explanation and 352 00:12:28,710 --> 00:12:25,509 then you'll have the sub questions for 353 00:12:30,420 --> 00:12:28,720 that sub topic so one is how can we 354 00:12:32,160 --> 00:12:30,430 improve characterization method so as 355 00:12:34,139 --> 00:12:32,170 not to miss detection of surface liquid 356 00:12:35,790 --> 00:12:34,149 water so this is you know we don't want 357 00:12:37,619 --> 00:12:35,800 to have a false negative we don't want 358 00:12:40,139 --> 00:12:37,629 to look at a planet say it doesn't have 359 00:12:41,819 --> 00:12:40,149 water and when in fact it does because 360 00:12:44,610 --> 00:12:41,829 that might be one of our butter planets 361 00:12:46,019 --> 00:12:44,620 to do follow-up observations of can we 362 00:12:47,549 --> 00:12:46,029 define habitability factor which is 363 00:12:49,379 --> 00:12:47,559 something i just discussed that 364 00:12:51,269 --> 00:12:49,389 encompasses planetary characteristics 365 00:12:52,740 --> 00:12:51,279 and planet star and planet planetary 366 00:12:55,350 --> 00:12:52,750 system interactions to inform the 367 00:12:57,540 --> 00:12:55,360 relatively likelihood I need to rephrase 368 00:12:59,999 --> 00:12:57,550 that that the planet is habitable so 369 00:13:01,559 --> 00:13:00,009 this is all about the you know again 370 00:13:03,480 --> 00:13:01,569 that sort of quantitative assessment 371 00:13:05,970 --> 00:13:03,490 incorporating as much as we possibly can 372 00:13:08,280 --> 00:13:05,980 into whether or not a planet can 373 00:13:10,769 --> 00:13:08,290 potentially Harbor a global detectable 374 00:13:12,509 --> 00:13:10,779 biosphere lastly what are the potential 375 00:13:13,319 --> 00:13:12,519 extensions to the habitable zone are 376 00:13:15,030 --> 00:13:13,329 they associated with different 377 00:13:16,889 --> 00:13:15,040 habitability signatures and different 378 00:13:18,389 --> 00:13:16,899 biosignatures so this is where we start 379 00:13:19,750 --> 00:13:18,399 to blend the two together you know 380 00:13:21,640 --> 00:13:19,760 people are talking about it 381 00:13:24,130 --> 00:13:21,650 own planet that's really dry and it 382 00:13:26,260 --> 00:13:24,140 suppresses some of the positive feedback 383 00:13:28,510 --> 00:13:26,270 loops involving water that can cause 384 00:13:32,140 --> 00:13:28,520 apply the free is over or to steam away 385 00:13:33,520 --> 00:13:32,150 if if that planet is habitable maybe it 386 00:13:36,330 --> 00:13:33,530 has a different type of bio signature 387 00:13:38,530 --> 00:13:36,340 than a wet planet like modern art has 388 00:13:40,060 --> 00:13:38,540 likewise if a planet has a hydrogen 389 00:13:41,350 --> 00:13:40,070 dominated biosphere doesn't have 390 00:13:43,210 --> 00:13:41,360 different bio signatures there's 391 00:13:45,190 --> 00:13:43,220 actually I think a really nice paper by 392 00:13:46,930 --> 00:13:45,200 Sara Seager about this a couple weeks 393 00:13:48,880 --> 00:13:46,940 ago I think it was a nap shape but I'm 394 00:13:52,000 --> 00:13:48,890 forgetting exactly where it appeared you 395 00:13:52,960 --> 00:13:52,010 can look it up google it but these are 396 00:13:54,340 --> 00:13:52,970 the types of questions you want to 397 00:13:56,230 --> 00:13:54,350 answer not just as a planet habitable 398 00:13:58,630 --> 00:13:56,240 but what is that what did the 399 00:14:00,280 --> 00:13:58,640 constraints on habitability mean for the 400 00:14:02,800 --> 00:14:00,290 bio signatures and that's where subtopic 401 00:14:04,830 --> 00:14:02,810 80 and so topic d start to me so 402 00:14:06,820 --> 00:14:04,840 subtopic b is about that search for life 403 00:14:08,260 --> 00:14:06,830 detecting the presence of life on an 404 00:14:10,870 --> 00:14:08,270 extra sort and snare back at the 405 00:14:12,670 --> 00:14:10,880 explanation part of the subtopic 406 00:14:14,140 --> 00:14:12,680 detecting the presence of life on an 407 00:14:16,480 --> 00:14:14,150 extrasolar planet requires understanding 408 00:14:18,580 --> 00:14:16,490 life scorable impact on its environment 409 00:14:20,290 --> 00:14:18,590 for a variety of different energy 410 00:14:21,970 --> 00:14:20,300 metabolisms and planetary environments 411 00:14:24,490 --> 00:14:21,980 and i'm going to define metabolisms at 412 00:14:26,350 --> 00:14:24,500 the end here we mean something specific 413 00:14:28,480 --> 00:14:26,360 which isn't always a biologist mean sort 414 00:14:30,820 --> 00:14:28,490 of the net chemical reaction that life 415 00:14:34,210 --> 00:14:30,830 does or the net chemical reactions life 416 00:14:36,670 --> 00:14:34,220 do not all the network of reactions that 417 00:14:38,380 --> 00:14:36,680 occur inside a cell that causes 418 00:14:40,660 --> 00:14:38,390 confusion sometimes so like for example 419 00:14:42,490 --> 00:14:40,670 metabolisms we mean methanogenesis or 420 00:14:44,950 --> 00:14:42,500 oxygenic photosynthesis or nitrogen 421 00:14:47,440 --> 00:14:44,960 fixation we want to know the process of 422 00:14:49,000 --> 00:14:47,450 the biota or the ecosystem is imparting 423 00:14:51,220 --> 00:14:49,010 on to the atmosphere and onto the 424 00:14:53,080 --> 00:14:51,230 external environment what's going on 425 00:14:54,190 --> 00:14:53,090 inside the cell I shouldn't say we don't 426 00:14:57,040 --> 00:14:54,200 care about because we care a great deal 427 00:14:58,750 --> 00:14:57,050 about it but for the most part in our 428 00:15:00,850 --> 00:14:58,760 models and in our considerations it's a 429 00:15:02,650 --> 00:15:00,860 black box and so long as the biologists 430 00:15:04,810 --> 00:15:02,660 are understanding and characterizing 431 00:15:07,210 --> 00:15:04,820 that black that black box accurately and 432 00:15:09,520 --> 00:15:07,220 as completely as possible then then 433 00:15:11,980 --> 00:15:09,530 we're quite happy with it although you 434 00:15:13,270 --> 00:15:11,990 know other people might might have 435 00:15:15,430 --> 00:15:13,280 different opinions on that but that's 436 00:15:17,050 --> 00:15:15,440 sort of my take the search for life 437 00:15:19,410 --> 00:15:17,060 whether in tissue or remote requires 438 00:15:22,720 --> 00:15:19,420 prioritization in other words were 439 00:15:24,670 --> 00:15:22,730 literally in a world in a galaxy with 10 440 00:15:26,470 --> 00:15:24,680 billion extrasolar planets that might be 441 00:15:30,580 --> 00:15:26,480 habitable which ones do you look at 442 00:15:32,830 --> 00:15:30,590 first so the sub questions for subtopic 443 00:15:33,610 --> 00:15:32,840 be metabolism environment connections 444 00:15:36,190 --> 00:15:33,620 how to improve 445 00:15:37,780 --> 00:15:36,200 understanding and prioritize targets so 446 00:15:40,000 --> 00:15:37,790 that's what I was just referring to 447 00:15:42,670 --> 00:15:40,010 detectability what's the most easily 448 00:15:44,590 --> 00:15:42,680 observable biosignatures if ozone and 449 00:15:45,910 --> 00:15:44,600 oxygen and methane which are sort of the 450 00:15:47,890 --> 00:15:45,920 traditional ones if there are the most 451 00:15:50,170 --> 00:15:47,900 easily observable ones or the most 452 00:15:51,490 --> 00:15:50,180 characterized ones then those are two 453 00:15:55,150 --> 00:15:51,500 two or three the ones and we're going to 454 00:15:56,980 --> 00:15:55,160 look at first and we also have to keep 455 00:15:58,840 --> 00:15:56,990 in mind technology right we there are 456 00:16:00,550 --> 00:15:58,850 some great proposals for biosignatures 457 00:16:03,670 --> 00:16:00,560 out there and ones that have been used 458 00:16:05,530 --> 00:16:03,680 to I think pretty good success here on 459 00:16:06,700 --> 00:16:05,540 earth and either are being used or will 460 00:16:08,680 --> 00:16:06,710 be used on the near term and Mars 461 00:16:10,540 --> 00:16:08,690 isotopic fractionation is a great 462 00:16:13,720 --> 00:16:10,550 example and maybe one day they'll be 463 00:16:15,790 --> 00:16:13,730 used in other solar system targets but a 464 00:16:18,610 --> 00:16:15,800 lot of those signatures aren't going to 465 00:16:21,040 --> 00:16:18,620 be in a capable of being applied to 466 00:16:22,300 --> 00:16:21,050 these remote observations especially 467 00:16:23,890 --> 00:16:22,310 when you get into like ionized 468 00:16:25,390 --> 00:16:23,900 diffraction you're just not going to be 469 00:16:27,310 --> 00:16:25,400 able to apply that to an extrasolar 470 00:16:28,720 --> 00:16:27,320 planet until they get enough money and 471 00:16:30,250 --> 00:16:28,730 fuel the Senate probe there and that I 472 00:16:32,590 --> 00:16:30,260 definitely don't plan on being alive 473 00:16:33,790 --> 00:16:32,600 that long and I definitely don't plan on 474 00:16:36,550 --> 00:16:33,800 being alive long enough for the probe to 475 00:16:37,810 --> 00:16:36,560 reach the planet so robots combination 476 00:16:39,280 --> 00:16:37,820 of wavelength ranges and spectral 477 00:16:40,990 --> 00:16:39,290 features to target because keep in mind 478 00:16:42,550 --> 00:16:41,000 pretty much until we said that probe all 479 00:16:43,930 --> 00:16:42,560 we're getting is a spectrum different 480 00:16:45,579 --> 00:16:43,940 colors of light and we're analyzing 481 00:16:47,470 --> 00:16:45,589 those different colors to find out what 482 00:16:49,720 --> 00:16:47,480 chemicals are in the atmosphere what's 483 00:16:52,030 --> 00:16:49,730 on surface and what those two things 484 00:16:54,130 --> 00:16:52,040 mean for the the presence of life on the 485 00:16:55,840 --> 00:16:54,140 planet and then lastly a topic near and 486 00:16:57,970 --> 00:16:55,850 dear to my own heart false positives and 487 00:16:59,710 --> 00:16:57,980 false negatives we neither we need to 488 00:17:02,260 --> 00:16:59,720 look at all the possibilities for a 489 00:17:04,000 --> 00:17:02,270 living planet to make us think that is 490 00:17:06,520 --> 00:17:04,010 dead because it doesn't have the bio 491 00:17:08,140 --> 00:17:06,530 signatures that we're looking for and we 492 00:17:09,819 --> 00:17:08,150 also want to avoid the case where a dead 493 00:17:12,429 --> 00:17:09,829 planet has geological or other 494 00:17:14,500 --> 00:17:12,439 non-biological processes that generate 495 00:17:17,140 --> 00:17:14,510 either the gases that we're looking for 496 00:17:19,270 --> 00:17:17,150 so you could imagine a planet that 497 00:17:22,090 --> 00:17:19,280 generates oxygen or ozone or methane 498 00:17:24,579 --> 00:17:22,100 that imparts that signature on to the 499 00:17:26,980 --> 00:17:24,589 atmosphere and also the possibility that 500 00:17:28,630 --> 00:17:26,990 that planet can generate other gases 501 00:17:30,549 --> 00:17:28,640 that happen to have a similar absorption 502 00:17:31,930 --> 00:17:30,559 feature especially when our first 503 00:17:34,240 --> 00:17:31,940 observations aren't going to have an 504 00:17:35,799 --> 00:17:34,250 extremely high resolution spectral 505 00:17:38,049 --> 00:17:35,809 resolution so in other words if you've 506 00:17:39,130 --> 00:17:38,059 got two gases oxygen and I can't think 507 00:17:40,299 --> 00:17:39,140 of another example off the top of my 508 00:17:42,370 --> 00:17:40,309 head and they absorb it the same 509 00:17:43,810 --> 00:17:42,380 wavelength of light the measurement 510 00:17:45,220 --> 00:17:43,820 you're making is absorption at that 511 00:17:47,350 --> 00:17:45,230 wavelength of light and if you've got 512 00:17:49,930 --> 00:17:47,360 that other guests that non biosignature 513 00:17:51,430 --> 00:17:49,940 the atmosphere it could for all for all 514 00:17:53,799 --> 00:17:51,440 the purposes that we're using it for 515 00:17:56,530 --> 00:17:53,809 look like the bio signature and so we 516 00:17:57,940 --> 00:17:56,540 want to at least be capable of 517 00:17:59,950 --> 00:17:57,950 understanding those so we have ways to 518 00:18:02,530 --> 00:17:59,960 discriminate between the false positives 519 00:18:03,760 --> 00:18:02,540 in the true positives okay so things to 520 00:18:04,870 --> 00:18:03,770 work on under coming ten years I've 521 00:18:06,669 --> 00:18:04,880 probably talked about a lot of this 522 00:18:08,799 --> 00:18:06,679 already we want this quantitative 523 00:18:10,450 --> 00:18:08,809 habitability factor given that 524 00:18:12,280 --> 00:18:10,460 habitability factor we want the bio 525 00:18:13,539 --> 00:18:12,290 signatures for that specific planet 526 00:18:15,400 --> 00:18:13,549 given the constraints from the 527 00:18:17,200 --> 00:18:15,410 habitability assessment we want a 528 00:18:18,850 --> 00:18:17,210 comprehensive catalog of bio signatures 529 00:18:21,100 --> 00:18:18,860 as well as false positives and negatives 530 00:18:23,590 --> 00:18:21,110 for those bio signatures and for those 531 00:18:25,360 --> 00:18:23,600 biospheres we started suppression 532 00:18:27,310 --> 00:18:25,370 technology so we haven't talked a lot 533 00:18:29,380 --> 00:18:27,320 about technology and in general we're 534 00:18:31,120 --> 00:18:29,390 avoiding that in the roadmap we put this 535 00:18:33,370 --> 00:18:31,130 one bullet point in here because it's so 536 00:18:35,260 --> 00:18:33,380 critical we need better starlight 537 00:18:37,630 --> 00:18:35,270 suppression technology so we can 538 00:18:39,460 --> 00:18:37,640 directly image these planets that's 539 00:18:41,620 --> 00:18:39,470 going to be the best way to get the data 540 00:18:43,960 --> 00:18:41,630 that we want to assess habitability and 541 00:18:45,880 --> 00:18:43,970 to assess the presence of life otherwise 542 00:18:48,220 --> 00:18:45,890 there's almost no way to do it we can do 543 00:18:49,390 --> 00:18:48,230 it with transit spectroscopy that's only 544 00:18:52,270 --> 00:18:49,400 going to probe the upper part of the 545 00:18:54,039 --> 00:18:52,280 atmosphere and so almost this is one of 546 00:18:56,500 --> 00:18:54,049 those fields where you sort of have this 547 00:18:59,110 --> 00:18:56,510 one call pole technol technology wise 548 00:19:00,789 --> 00:18:59,120 that is going to hold all of our other 549 00:19:02,470 --> 00:19:00,799 research up for quite some time in my 550 00:19:04,600 --> 00:19:02,480 opinion everything else is going to be 551 00:19:06,549 --> 00:19:04,610 theoretical until we get the the 552 00:19:08,049 --> 00:19:06,559 starlight suppression down to about 553 00:19:10,299 --> 00:19:08,059 usually the numbers like ten to the 554 00:19:12,430 --> 00:19:10,309 tenth so the basically we have to 555 00:19:14,740 --> 00:19:12,440 suppress the starlight by a factor of 556 00:19:16,090 --> 00:19:14,750 ten to the tenth more than we suppress 557 00:19:18,130 --> 00:19:16,100 the light coming from the plan the plan 558 00:19:19,480 --> 00:19:18,140 white and that'll let us image the 559 00:19:21,130 --> 00:19:19,490 planet and then do all the wonderful 560 00:19:24,549 --> 00:19:21,140 things we're talking about in this 561 00:19:26,470 --> 00:19:24,559 presentation understanding the 562 00:19:28,720 --> 00:19:26,480 information content of planetary spectra 563 00:19:30,549 --> 00:19:28,730 including methods to retrieve on first 564 00:19:32,650 --> 00:19:30,559 surface properties relevant habitability 565 00:19:34,690 --> 00:19:32,660 particularly surface liquid water so 566 00:19:36,700 --> 00:19:34,700 we'd like to have some way to not just 567 00:19:38,230 --> 00:19:36,710 have a spectrum come in and say oh that 568 00:19:40,180 --> 00:19:38,240 looks like it has oxygen and that looks 569 00:19:42,400 --> 00:19:40,190 like it has carbon dioxide we'd like to 570 00:19:44,890 --> 00:19:42,410 have some rigorous and robust 571 00:19:46,480 --> 00:19:44,900 methodology that will do that as the 572 00:19:48,370 --> 00:19:46,490 data come in because otherwise we're at 573 00:19:51,490 --> 00:19:48,380 the imposing our own hypotheses on that 574 00:19:54,000 --> 00:19:51,500 planet on to our analyses and lastly 575 00:19:55,750 --> 00:19:54,010 compared to climb ecology our super is 576 00:19:57,700 --> 00:19:55,760 inhabiting a beautiful are they 577 00:19:59,669 --> 00:19:57,710 inhabited these are the types of things 578 00:20:01,240 --> 00:19:59,679 we can get at if we've got good models 579 00:20:06,100 --> 00:20:01,250 that can 580 00:20:09,400 --> 00:20:06,110 also Mars and Venus and guest ideally 581 00:20:11,230 --> 00:20:09,410 the gas giants Titan and the entire 582 00:20:13,360 --> 00:20:11,240 history of those planets because if we 583 00:20:15,730 --> 00:20:13,370 have a model that can do these things we 584 00:20:17,080 --> 00:20:15,740 have more confidence that it can do sort 585 00:20:19,270 --> 00:20:17,090 of in between planets right if you've 586 00:20:21,280 --> 00:20:19,280 got a model that can do earth they can 587 00:20:22,810 --> 00:20:21,290 also do a gas giant well you have a 588 00:20:24,670 --> 00:20:22,820 little bit more confidence that could it 589 00:20:26,530 --> 00:20:24,680 can do the in between cases of super 590 00:20:29,170 --> 00:20:26,540 earth planets then you would if the 591 00:20:30,160 --> 00:20:29,180 model was just validated against her the 592 00:20:31,630 --> 00:20:30,170 other thing we need in terms of 593 00:20:33,670 --> 00:20:31,640 comparative climate ology is not just 594 00:20:36,340 --> 00:20:33,680 comparing one models results on 595 00:20:38,350 --> 00:20:36,350 different planets but also comparing 596 00:20:39,880 --> 00:20:38,360 different models on the same plan right 597 00:20:42,460 --> 00:20:39,890 this is something that earth scientists 598 00:20:44,260 --> 00:20:42,470 have done very successfully in the IPCC 599 00:20:47,260 --> 00:20:44,270 the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate 600 00:20:48,550 --> 00:20:47,270 Change for well over a decade now and I 601 00:20:51,160 --> 00:20:48,560 think we need to take their lead and 602 00:20:54,130 --> 00:20:51,170 start comparing our different models for 603 00:20:56,380 --> 00:20:54,140 terrestrial planets inside and being on 604 00:20:57,790 --> 00:20:56,390 our solar system so we better understand 605 00:20:59,740 --> 00:20:57,800 the uncertainties and all these 606 00:21:01,930 --> 00:20:59,750 different models their uncertainty is as 607 00:21:04,690 --> 00:21:01,940 a suite of models and so that we can 608 00:21:07,570 --> 00:21:04,700 start understanding which parts of which 609 00:21:08,890 --> 00:21:07,580 models seem to perform the best and then 610 00:21:10,690 --> 00:21:08,900 once you start doing that you can start 611 00:21:12,190 --> 00:21:10,700 you know swap and come out a little bit 612 00:21:14,950 --> 00:21:12,200 and there's danger there because 613 00:21:16,480 --> 00:21:14,960 sometimes that means you're all using 614 00:21:18,430 --> 00:21:16,490 each other's code to the point where all 615 00:21:20,080 --> 00:21:18,440 the models become homogeneous which is a 616 00:21:21,100 --> 00:21:20,090 problem sometimes in the rent sciences 617 00:21:23,380 --> 00:21:21,110 community and that's something we need 618 00:21:25,120 --> 00:21:23,390 to be cognizant on but the brighter side 619 00:21:29,050 --> 00:21:25,130 of that is the best code in the long run 620 00:21:30,490 --> 00:21:29,060 will went out and so will happen if we 621 00:21:32,590 --> 00:21:30,500 keep innovating and coming up with new 622 00:21:34,690 --> 00:21:32,600 ideas especially for the weak points 623 00:21:38,200 --> 00:21:34,700 like clouds or whatnot that will improve 624 00:21:40,270 --> 00:21:38,210 our community in the long run okay so 625 00:21:42,310 --> 00:21:40,280 connections to other questions this is 626 00:21:44,410 --> 00:21:42,320 again the next and I should say if you 627 00:21:46,960 --> 00:21:44,420 see something big up in the topic part 628 00:21:49,120 --> 00:21:46,970 of these slides that's another step in 629 00:21:50,830 --> 00:21:49,130 the template another top headline in the 630 00:21:53,590 --> 00:21:50,840 template so connections to other 631 00:21:55,270 --> 00:21:53,600 questions these are the ones we just 632 00:21:57,550 --> 00:21:55,280 pulled off of the document how we 633 00:21:58,840 --> 00:21:57,560 remotely find and identify an inhabited 634 00:22:01,270 --> 00:21:58,850 planet so that there's obvious 635 00:22:02,830 --> 00:22:01,280 connections there how can a world 636 00:22:04,030 --> 00:22:02,840 generate and support life and how can we 637 00:22:05,950 --> 00:22:04,040 use remote characterization to 638 00:22:07,120 --> 00:22:05,960 understand such worlds again that's a 639 00:22:09,160 --> 00:22:07,130 lot of the techniques we've been 640 00:22:10,870 --> 00:22:09,170 discussing today how do habitable 641 00:22:12,370 --> 00:22:10,880 planetary systems form that's sort of 642 00:22:14,500 --> 00:22:12,380 how did we how did the planets get there 643 00:22:15,039 --> 00:22:14,510 and it also helps to some degree because 644 00:22:17,529 --> 00:22:15,049 it's similar 645 00:22:19,989 --> 00:22:17,539 tools to analyzing the planet planet 646 00:22:22,119 --> 00:22:19,999 interaction parts of habitability it 647 00:22:24,669 --> 00:22:22,129 also can impact the history the 648 00:22:26,619 --> 00:22:24,679 habitable history of that planet so the 649 00:22:28,359 --> 00:22:26,629 roy barnes and brian jackson have done 650 00:22:30,700 --> 00:22:28,369 some interesting work about planets that 651 00:22:32,350 --> 00:22:30,710 may be in habitable zone now but what 652 00:22:34,029 --> 00:22:32,360 actually Stephen Cain and some other 653 00:22:36,070 --> 00:22:34,039 people out in California have done this 654 00:22:38,649 --> 00:22:36,080 where you have systems that may be 655 00:22:39,700 --> 00:22:38,659 habitable now but have had parts of 656 00:22:42,129 --> 00:22:39,710 their histories where they had gone 657 00:22:43,779 --> 00:22:42,139 through uninhabitable phase space and 658 00:22:45,310 --> 00:22:43,789 you'd like to identify those ahead of 659 00:22:47,379 --> 00:22:45,320 time as you can and it's the same tools 660 00:22:50,200 --> 00:22:47,389 as how the habitable planetary systems 661 00:22:52,060 --> 00:22:50,210 form people use at least subsets at both 662 00:22:53,590 --> 00:22:52,070 tools are the same what is the 663 00:22:55,359 --> 00:22:53,600 applicability of our geophysical 664 00:22:57,220 --> 00:22:55,369 knowledge of birth of rocky exoplanets I 665 00:22:59,649 --> 00:22:57,230 personally this isn't an area of 666 00:23:01,570 --> 00:22:59,659 research that I pursue but I have always 667 00:23:03,039 --> 00:23:01,580 maintained that this is one of our 668 00:23:05,739 --> 00:23:03,049 biggest unknowns when it comes to 669 00:23:08,470 --> 00:23:05,749 exoplanet research how important is it 670 00:23:09,970 --> 00:23:08,480 to have any kind of tectonics you know 671 00:23:11,560 --> 00:23:09,980 whether it's plate tectonics like we 672 00:23:13,779 --> 00:23:11,570 have on earth or some sort of lid or 673 00:23:16,359 --> 00:23:13,789 overturn tectonics like we have on Venus 674 00:23:18,840 --> 00:23:16,369 or pipe vulcanism like we have an IL it 675 00:23:21,940 --> 00:23:18,850 first of all how important is tektronix 676 00:23:24,909 --> 00:23:21,950 ? what controls whether or not a planet 677 00:23:27,729 --> 00:23:24,919 has tectonics what do the different 678 00:23:29,739 --> 00:23:27,739 types of tectonic regimes imply for 679 00:23:31,989 --> 00:23:29,749 habitability and what controls that what 680 00:23:34,749 --> 00:23:31,999 controls whether your plate over turn or 681 00:23:36,700 --> 00:23:34,759 pipe vulcanism right people have started 682 00:23:38,529 --> 00:23:36,710 to look at this just over the last 683 00:23:40,479 --> 00:23:38,539 decade but I think that that research is 684 00:23:42,940 --> 00:23:40,489 still pretty new and I think there's a 685 00:23:44,499 --> 00:23:42,950 lot of room to improve on that and it's 686 00:23:45,999 --> 00:23:44,509 not because people haven't done good 687 00:23:48,430 --> 00:23:46,009 work it done excellent work but we're 688 00:23:49,749 --> 00:23:48,440 just getting started as a community how 689 00:23:51,940 --> 00:23:49,759 can we enhance the utility of bio 690 00:23:53,200 --> 00:23:51,950 signatures that's obvious right we if 691 00:23:54,519 --> 00:23:53,210 we're going to look for life we want to 692 00:23:57,580 --> 00:23:54,529 make sure that these bio signatures are 693 00:23:58,930 --> 00:23:57,590 robust how did the evolution of the 694 00:24:01,389 --> 00:23:58,940 atmosphere and its interactions with the 695 00:24:04,139 --> 00:24:01,399 solid earth and biosphere inform our 696 00:24:06,220 --> 00:24:04,149 exploration of habitable worlds and this 697 00:24:07,960 --> 00:24:06,230 is similar to the thing I said a couple 698 00:24:09,970 --> 00:24:07,970 points above right like you want to know 699 00:24:11,409 --> 00:24:09,980 how the mantle the redox state of the 700 00:24:13,570 --> 00:24:11,419 mantle the chemical composition of the 701 00:24:15,909 --> 00:24:13,580 mantle affects the atmosphere you'd also 702 00:24:18,999 --> 00:24:15,919 like to know the opposite how does this 703 00:24:21,310 --> 00:24:19,009 the carbonate silicate feedback cycle 704 00:24:23,440 --> 00:24:21,320 work and a very generic sense are there 705 00:24:25,840 --> 00:24:23,450 other carbonate silicate like feedback 706 00:24:28,480 --> 00:24:25,850 cycles then that's the the mechanism by 707 00:24:28,960 --> 00:24:28,490 which the lithosphere the rocky part of 708 00:24:31,240 --> 00:24:28,970 the restore 709 00:24:34,510 --> 00:24:31,250 acted as a thermostat over long time 710 00:24:36,100 --> 00:24:34,520 periods of Earth's surface habitable are 711 00:24:38,169 --> 00:24:36,110 there other versions of that that apply 712 00:24:39,640 --> 00:24:38,179 to exoplanets with different rock 713 00:24:41,440 --> 00:24:39,650 composition or different atmospheric 714 00:24:42,640 --> 00:24:41,450 composition these are the types of 715 00:24:47,260 --> 00:24:42,650 things I'd like to hear a lot more 716 00:24:49,870 --> 00:24:47,270 people doing research on John explained 717 00:24:51,430 --> 00:24:49,880 to him in there I just want to jump in 718 00:24:53,560 --> 00:24:51,440 to note these are the these questions 719 00:24:55,810 --> 00:24:53,570 that are all explored and more detail in 720 00:24:58,750 --> 00:24:55,820 the other white paper ducks so these are 721 00:25:01,840 --> 00:24:58,760 guys that has sort of documents right 722 00:25:03,730 --> 00:25:01,850 I'm trying to I guess just describe the 723 00:25:04,870 --> 00:25:03,740 relationship between this end and then 724 00:25:06,640 --> 00:25:04,880 highlighting there is where I think 725 00:25:10,750 --> 00:25:06,650 there's there's a particular relevancy 726 00:25:13,000 --> 00:25:10,760 and especially when it's not obvious how 727 00:25:14,620 --> 00:25:13,010 can we understand her past present and 728 00:25:18,820 --> 00:25:14,630 future as proxies for habitable worlds 729 00:25:20,320 --> 00:25:18,830 this is an area of work where I think 730 00:25:22,090 --> 00:25:20,330 it's particularly related to the false 731 00:25:24,340 --> 00:25:22,100 positives and false negatives if you 732 00:25:26,470 --> 00:25:24,350 want to look at a weird biosphere in my 733 00:25:28,330 --> 00:25:26,480 mind the best place to go is early Earth 734 00:25:29,740 --> 00:25:28,340 when the basket was weird and yet we 735 00:25:32,470 --> 00:25:29,750 know it existed and we know it worked 736 00:25:34,600 --> 00:25:32,480 because there's lots of rock data that 737 00:25:36,220 --> 00:25:34,610 are telling us all those things and 738 00:25:38,620 --> 00:25:36,230 what's more because the rock data are 739 00:25:40,419 --> 00:25:38,630 there we can do the scientific method we 740 00:25:42,190 --> 00:25:40,429 can propose hypotheses for how those 741 00:25:44,770 --> 00:25:42,200 vows that biosphere work at that time 742 00:25:48,399 --> 00:25:44,780 and test them with further examinations 743 00:25:49,480 --> 00:25:48,409 of the rock record and all of those 744 00:25:51,220 --> 00:25:49,490 lessons are going to be applied to 745 00:25:53,080 --> 00:25:51,230 exoplanets because you have a different 746 00:25:54,760 --> 00:25:53,090 biosphere you know work you want to 747 00:25:56,760 --> 00:25:54,770 examine it in great detail it's um I 748 00:25:59,560 --> 00:25:56,770 always say the early Earth is the best 749 00:26:02,049 --> 00:25:59,570 and most complete record of an alien 750 00:26:03,549 --> 00:26:02,059 biosphere that we have and how can we 751 00:26:06,789 --> 00:26:03,559 identify habitable environments in the 752 00:26:08,830 --> 00:26:06,799 solar system the lessons we learn by 753 00:26:10,360 --> 00:26:08,840 searching for habitable environments and 754 00:26:12,789 --> 00:26:10,370 searching for life whether it's on early 755 00:26:13,930 --> 00:26:12,799 Earth or other planets are always going 756 00:26:16,930 --> 00:26:13,940 to be applicable to our search elsewhere 757 00:26:20,350 --> 00:26:16,940 I think the case of false positives and 758 00:26:22,510 --> 00:26:20,360 false negatives has tremendous analogs 759 00:26:24,159 --> 00:26:22,520 and parallel stories in our search for 760 00:26:27,310 --> 00:26:24,169 the earliest life on Earth and in our 761 00:26:29,649 --> 00:26:27,320 search for life on other planets and we 762 00:26:32,409 --> 00:26:29,659 could go on a long detail about that but 763 00:26:34,600 --> 00:26:32,419 I should be quiet soon so Nancy and Ty 764 00:26:36,100 --> 00:26:34,610 and if one else can talk okay then 765 00:26:37,779 --> 00:26:36,110 there's a glossary and I promise the 766 00:26:40,120 --> 00:26:37,789 definition of metabolism there it is I 767 00:26:42,220 --> 00:26:40,130 also define the habitable zone because I 768 00:26:45,490 --> 00:26:42,230 want to be explicit about what we mean 769 00:26:46,330 --> 00:26:45,500 in this sort of subsection of the 770 00:26:48,669 --> 00:26:46,340 community when we talk about 771 00:26:50,140 --> 00:26:48,679 habitability and that's not to mean that 772 00:26:52,360 --> 00:26:50,150 we're right and everyone else is wrong 773 00:26:53,980 --> 00:26:52,370 and so this is just how the term is 774 00:26:55,480 --> 00:26:53,990 historical used and I think if people 775 00:26:57,310 --> 00:26:55,490 won't have a discussion about a new term 776 00:26:59,650 --> 00:26:57,320 that explains the same phenomenon I 777 00:27:01,180 --> 00:26:59,660 think that that can be helping but for 778 00:27:02,289 --> 00:27:01,190 context this is the way it's been used 779 00:27:04,590 --> 00:27:02,299 in the past and if you see it in 780 00:27:07,480 --> 00:27:04,600 literature this is how it has business 781 00:27:09,460 --> 00:27:07,490 and metabolism again when we say 782 00:27:11,020 --> 00:27:09,470 metabolism we're looking at what goes 783 00:27:13,750 --> 00:27:11,030 into an organism and what comes out of 784 00:27:15,549 --> 00:27:13,760 an organism on a chemical basis we're 785 00:27:19,299 --> 00:27:15,559 not worried about all the reactions are 786 00:27:21,190 --> 00:27:19,309 crying inside the organism oh and i had 787 00:27:22,539 --> 00:27:21,200 evolution i meant to define evolution 788 00:27:25,090 --> 00:27:22,549 this is something else that often can 789 00:27:27,400 --> 00:27:25,100 cause some Crossfield confusion we don't 790 00:27:29,159 --> 00:27:27,410 always mean Darwinian or Lamarckian or 791 00:27:32,590 --> 00:27:29,169 any other kind of biological evolution 792 00:27:35,560 --> 00:27:32,600 on how organisms evolve over time within 793 00:27:38,110 --> 00:27:35,570 a biosphere we're talking about change 794 00:27:40,120 --> 00:27:38,120 over time just built the property delta 795 00:27:42,549 --> 00:27:40,130 T okay so evolution of a planet you can 796 00:27:44,560 --> 00:27:42,559 have an evolution of a biosphere you can 797 00:27:46,090 --> 00:27:44,570 have evolution of organisms when we use 798 00:27:48,190 --> 00:27:46,100 evolution we don't mean the specific 799 00:27:49,810 --> 00:27:48,200 process that Darwin wrote about so many 800 00:27:51,789 --> 00:27:49,820 years ago we don't have any references 801 00:27:53,620 --> 00:27:51,799 yet so this is blank but I wanted to 802 00:27:55,690 --> 00:27:53,630 include it so people got a feel for what 803 00:27:58,419 --> 00:27:55,700 the new template look like and then I 804 00:28:00,130 --> 00:27:58,429 think this is this is the last slide 805 00:28:02,770 --> 00:28:00,140 that's part of the template the authors 806 00:28:04,360 --> 00:28:02,780 um I've been talking and running over 807 00:28:06,220 --> 00:28:04,370 Nancy and time so I apologize for that 808 00:28:09,460 --> 00:28:06,230 but Nancy and I've done a lot of great 809 00:28:10,870 --> 00:28:09,470 work on this time particular really dr. 810 00:28:13,180 --> 00:28:10,880 document into shape over the past 811 00:28:15,190 --> 00:28:13,190 weekend Brittany Schmidt and Steve Vance 812 00:28:18,280 --> 00:28:15,200 and Robin Wordsworth and Dave dem array 813 00:28:20,470 --> 00:28:18,290 and Roger Brockman and Vicky meadows are 814 00:28:22,900 --> 00:28:20,480 all part of the larger group that's done 815 00:28:25,270 --> 00:28:22,910 this series of four webinars of which 816 00:28:27,340 --> 00:28:25,280 this is the third on habitability and 817 00:28:29,530 --> 00:28:27,350 the search for life inside and beyond 818 00:28:31,060 --> 00:28:29,540 the solar system I should say that that 819 00:28:33,490 --> 00:28:31,070 Brittany and Steve really did great work 820 00:28:35,590 --> 00:28:33,500 on the very front end of that getting us 821 00:28:37,659 --> 00:28:35,600 organized and splitting a monster 822 00:28:38,919 --> 00:28:37,669 document that we had up into the three 823 00:28:40,690 --> 00:28:38,929 or four documents that we're now 824 00:28:43,510 --> 00:28:40,700 presenting so this really is a team 825 00:28:45,280 --> 00:28:43,520 effort it's been almost all my word so 826 00:28:47,710 --> 00:28:45,290 far but not even close to all my work 827 00:28:50,470 --> 00:28:47,720 it's probably almost the opposite so 828 00:28:52,030 --> 00:28:50,480 with that I will leave you to our last 829 00:28:53,740 --> 00:28:52,040 line which is just encouragement to 830 00:28:55,720 --> 00:28:53,750 check out the document I don't intend 831 00:28:57,010 --> 00:28:55,730 you to read this or to even 832 00:28:59,350 --> 00:28:57,020 be able to make up the individual 833 00:29:00,820 --> 00:28:59,360 characters on your screen this is just 834 00:29:02,230 --> 00:29:00,830 to show you that there still is a lot 835 00:29:04,570 --> 00:29:02,240 more material we have not discussed 836 00:29:05,920 --> 00:29:04,580 today that's in the document and so I 837 00:29:07,870 --> 00:29:05,930 encourage you to go and take a look at 838 00:29:10,120 --> 00:29:07,880 that document and see if we've missed 839 00:29:11,920 --> 00:29:10,130 anything or gotten anything wrong so we 840 00:29:14,490 --> 00:29:11,930 look forward to your feedback guess 841 00:29:18,550 --> 00:29:14,500 starting now if anyone has any questions 842 00:29:20,470 --> 00:29:18,560 well could I suggest that firstly do you 843 00:29:22,390 --> 00:29:20,480 want to address any of the questions 844 00:29:25,360 --> 00:29:22,400 that have been coming up in the chat box 845 00:29:27,280 --> 00:29:25,370 because I can say men seem to be taken 846 00:29:31,480 --> 00:29:27,290 away other things that they worth 847 00:29:33,970 --> 00:29:31,490 expanding a pony right now I would say 848 00:29:36,070 --> 00:29:33,980 let's leave that time an see why don't 849 00:29:37,690 --> 00:29:36,080 you guys start the I have not been able 850 00:29:39,160 --> 00:29:37,700 to see the questions I'm going to stop 851 00:29:43,180 --> 00:29:39,170 sharing my screen shot and i'm going to 852 00:29:45,970 --> 00:29:43,190 send the chat transcript to you Nancy 853 00:29:49,420 --> 00:29:45,980 and ties it's easier greed and email but 854 00:29:51,580 --> 00:29:49,430 that go on in parallel but Nancy Todd 855 00:29:54,840 --> 00:29:51,590 you to want to take over and because i 856 00:30:01,990 --> 00:29:58,120 sergeant note down what questions are in 857 00:30:05,770 --> 00:30:02,000 the chat so Glenn and geo look at a 858 00:30:08,200 --> 00:30:05,780 mismatching wanted a couple of us wanted 859 00:30:10,090 --> 00:30:08,210 to discuss what potentially habitable 860 00:30:12,550 --> 00:30:10,100 environments are we going to miss 861 00:30:16,500 --> 00:30:12,560 because of prioritization for detection 862 00:30:19,090 --> 00:30:16,510 methods that's one question there's a 863 00:30:21,760 --> 00:30:19,100 daisy marie made a suggestion that one 864 00:30:24,100 --> 00:30:21,770 habit habitability factor may be too 865 00:30:26,200 --> 00:30:24,110 restrictive so maybe we might want to 866 00:30:31,930 --> 00:30:26,210 come up with a habitability profile 867 00:30:35,320 --> 00:30:31,940 instead and and i think john rummel was 868 00:30:38,410 --> 00:30:35,330 noting on intelligent life being also 869 00:30:39,910 --> 00:30:38,420 offering off the bio signatures so those 870 00:30:44,500 --> 00:30:39,920 are three prominent questions that came 871 00:30:46,330 --> 00:30:44,510 up in the chat okay um unless there's 872 00:30:51,070 --> 00:30:46,340 anything else you want to say on that 873 00:30:53,920 --> 00:30:51,080 let me encourage our participants the 874 00:30:55,990 --> 00:30:53,930 telephone lines are open if you want 875 00:30:58,660 --> 00:30:56,000 what we've done in the past is you can 876 00:31:00,520 --> 00:30:58,670 click the little hand icon as you see it 877 00:31:03,580 --> 00:31:00,530 we're going to clears next to my name on 878 00:31:05,200 --> 00:31:03,590 you know you want to speak or if you 879 00:31:07,029 --> 00:31:05,210 feel a warm 880 00:31:13,750 --> 00:31:07,039 yes you can just want to stop talking 881 00:31:14,919 --> 00:31:13,760 now good like a hand well let me respond 882 00:31:18,389 --> 00:31:14,929 to one of the things i just heard which 883 00:31:23,590 --> 00:31:18,399 is this idea of a sort of a habitability 884 00:31:25,029 --> 00:31:23,600 was the term profile okay so i think 885 00:31:27,760 --> 00:31:25,039 that's a great idea and the only thing I 886 00:31:29,019 --> 00:31:27,770 I want to be explicit about is I didn't 887 00:31:31,210 --> 00:31:29,029 mean to say you know we should get 888 00:31:34,600 --> 00:31:31,220 together as a community and come up with 889 00:31:36,760 --> 00:31:34,610 one algorithm or one equation to define 890 00:31:38,320 --> 00:31:36,770 the habitability factor I probably 891 00:31:41,799 --> 00:31:38,330 should have said habitability factor is 892 00:31:43,149 --> 00:31:41,809 plural and and by making a single er 893 00:31:44,470 --> 00:31:43,159 I've actually ignored something that 894 00:31:46,389 --> 00:31:44,480 able Mendez has been doing with 895 00:31:49,060 --> 00:31:46,399 coworkers which is he's been coming up 896 00:31:51,240 --> 00:31:49,070 with quite a few different i would say 897 00:31:53,649 --> 00:31:51,250 qualitative for semi quantitative 898 00:31:56,169 --> 00:31:53,659 assessments of potential habitability of 899 00:31:57,820 --> 00:31:56,179 exoplanets and i think that's a great 900 00:31:59,710 --> 00:31:57,830 start I think we need multiple 901 00:32:02,190 --> 00:31:59,720 approaches you know and the more 902 00:32:04,750 --> 00:32:02,200 approaches we have the more our 903 00:32:06,970 --> 00:32:04,760 collective capability is going to be so 904 00:32:09,669 --> 00:32:06,980 you might have one have ability factor 905 00:32:12,580 --> 00:32:09,679 that's really tuned towards how similar 906 00:32:13,899 --> 00:32:12,590 the planet is to Earth in terms of its 907 00:32:15,519 --> 00:32:13,909 potential to have a modern earth 908 00:32:19,060 --> 00:32:15,529 biosphere like you might have another 909 00:32:20,799 --> 00:32:19,070 that is a little bit more aggressive and 910 00:32:22,269 --> 00:32:20,809 a little bit more optimistic if you want 911 00:32:24,399 --> 00:32:22,279 to use up the mystic pessimistic turns 912 00:32:26,019 --> 00:32:24,409 in terms of the hydrogen dominated 913 00:32:28,210 --> 00:32:26,029 biospheres or dry valocer's and things 914 00:32:30,100 --> 00:32:28,220 like that so there might be different 915 00:32:32,620 --> 00:32:30,110 approaches and you might end up having 916 00:32:34,810 --> 00:32:32,630 some catalog of what makes the planet 917 00:32:36,639 --> 00:32:34,820 habitable around it comfortable as Dave 918 00:32:38,380 --> 00:32:36,649 suggested so I think multiple approaches 919 00:32:39,220 --> 00:32:38,390 are good because the different 920 00:32:40,330 --> 00:32:39,230 approaches are going to use for 921 00:32:42,370 --> 00:32:40,340 different things some of them are going 922 00:32:44,110 --> 00:32:42,380 to be is for prioritization some of them 923 00:32:45,909 --> 00:32:44,120 are going to be used for real science 924 00:32:48,190 --> 00:32:45,919 you know where we're trying to classify 925 00:32:51,279 --> 00:32:48,200 these things to a taxonomy of exoplanets 926 00:32:52,769 --> 00:32:51,289 something else able to started to do so 927 00:32:55,389 --> 00:32:52,779 I think different approaches are good 928 00:32:59,980 --> 00:32:55,399 and almost subject of what they said 929 00:33:02,409 --> 00:32:59,990 Dave Thomas yeah well you know now that 930 00:33:04,240 --> 00:33:02,419 you guys have found all these it's huge 931 00:33:06,399 --> 00:33:04,250 potential for habitable planets or 932 00:33:07,990 --> 00:33:06,409 potentially habitable planets you're in 933 00:33:09,730 --> 00:33:08,000 the same situation that the Mars program 934 00:33:12,130 --> 00:33:09,740 was when we found water all over the 935 00:33:13,539 --> 00:33:12,140 place or evidence of it you know and 936 00:33:15,519 --> 00:33:13,549 that is you've got an embarrassment of 937 00:33:16,400 --> 00:33:15,529 riches and as you rightly pointed out 938 00:33:18,790 --> 00:33:16,410 you're going to have to 939 00:33:21,530 --> 00:33:18,800 how to prioritize amongst those riches 940 00:33:25,130 --> 00:33:21,540 the historical precedent for this is 941 00:33:27,140 --> 00:33:25,140 site selection for landing the Curiosity 942 00:33:29,090 --> 00:33:27,150 rover you know and the incredible 943 00:33:32,330 --> 00:33:29,100 exercise that would that we went through 944 00:33:33,890 --> 00:33:32,340 in doing that and I guess where I'm 945 00:33:35,540 --> 00:33:33,900 coming from here is that there were four 946 00:33:37,460 --> 00:33:35,550 sites in the end that y'all just looked 947 00:33:39,890 --> 00:33:37,470 wonderful you know they had evidence of 948 00:33:42,170 --> 00:33:39,900 holding water evidence that it was you 949 00:33:44,630 --> 00:33:42,180 could get hot that were involved and on 950 00:33:46,910 --> 00:33:44,640 and on and on and if you would come up 951 00:33:50,270 --> 00:33:46,920 and you address this saying that you're 952 00:33:51,740 --> 00:33:50,280 having really fact but he just came up 953 00:33:54,260 --> 00:33:51,750 with a single number that would have a 954 00:33:57,140 --> 00:33:54,270 you know rated those they would have all 955 00:33:59,600 --> 00:33:57,150 been the same but by considering all but 956 00:34:01,760 --> 00:33:59,610 at criteria that we consider important 957 00:34:03,440 --> 00:34:01,770 for a site the thing that really made 958 00:34:06,140 --> 00:34:03,450 Gale Crater jump out in front of the 959 00:34:09,320 --> 00:34:06,150 others was this accessibility of a long 960 00:34:12,020 --> 00:34:09,330 record of deposits during a key period 961 00:34:14,030 --> 00:34:12,030 in early Mars history where environment 962 00:34:16,669 --> 00:34:14,040 climate change was really big deal and 963 00:34:18,800 --> 00:34:16,679 that tent pole got so tall compared to 964 00:34:21,490 --> 00:34:18,810 the others that Gale prevailed and so 965 00:34:25,550 --> 00:34:21,500 I'm just saying that in your exoplanet 966 00:34:28,400 --> 00:34:25,560 profiles are you know factors whatever 967 00:34:29,750 --> 00:34:28,410 that you allow that visibility into what 968 00:34:32,060 --> 00:34:29,760 could turn out to be an unanticipated 969 00:34:34,430 --> 00:34:32,070 tall tent pole that would pretty much 970 00:34:35,840 --> 00:34:34,440 Trump a lot of the other things that 971 00:34:39,140 --> 00:34:35,850 otherwise would have given you also 972 00:34:40,850 --> 00:34:39,150 positive factors so just making sure you 973 00:34:42,950 --> 00:34:40,860 have enough resolution but also that 974 00:34:44,360 --> 00:34:42,960 people think about the different apples 975 00:34:46,909 --> 00:34:44,370 oranges and peaches that go into 976 00:34:49,010 --> 00:34:46,919 assessing habitability preparing 977 00:34:51,080 --> 00:34:49,020 yourself for that that star player that 978 00:34:53,390 --> 00:34:51,090 suddenly comes out of the pack well 979 00:34:55,190 --> 00:34:53,400 that's that's what if I to expand on 980 00:34:56,750 --> 00:34:55,200 your analogy a little bit data one of 981 00:34:58,580 --> 00:34:56,760 the other things it seems to be taken 982 00:35:00,260 --> 00:34:58,590 into account and i have was my part of 983 00:35:02,030 --> 00:35:00,270 this like you were but is the other 984 00:35:03,740 --> 00:35:02,040 types of science one can do it a site 985 00:35:05,450 --> 00:35:03,750 and I I think the same thing would apply 986 00:35:08,720 --> 00:35:05,460 to an exoplanet if you've got an 987 00:35:11,330 --> 00:35:08,730 exoplanet that has interesting non paske 988 00:35:13,700 --> 00:35:11,340 biological science to be done in that 989 00:35:15,650 --> 00:35:13,710 system you might prioritize that over an 990 00:35:18,320 --> 00:35:15,660 equally interesting astrobiological 991 00:35:20,600 --> 00:35:18,330 target that is maybe less interesting 992 00:35:25,160 --> 00:35:20,610 for non astrobiological the XO planetary 993 00:35:26,450 --> 00:35:25,170 science purposes and you know just to go 994 00:35:29,090 --> 00:35:26,460 a little bit back on your analogy I 995 00:35:30,190 --> 00:35:29,100 think maybe not the 19 the last you know 996 00:35:33,970 --> 00:35:30,200 decade or two but may 997 00:35:35,200 --> 00:35:33,980 like the 1950s or 1960s pre Viking might 998 00:35:36,310 --> 00:35:35,210 be a better analogy just because we 999 00:35:40,089 --> 00:35:36,320 don't have the embarrassment of riches 1000 00:35:42,880 --> 00:35:40,099 of data that the Mars community has for 1001 00:35:44,800 --> 00:35:42,890 site selection right we we have very 1002 00:35:46,750 --> 00:35:44,810 limited data on these exoplanets which 1003 00:35:49,540 --> 00:35:46,760 is one of the reasons the prioritization 1004 00:35:51,550 --> 00:35:49,550 is so difficult is you know we generally 1005 00:35:53,140 --> 00:35:51,560 know how big they are hopefully we know 1006 00:35:55,030 --> 00:35:53,150 the mass and the radius usually we only 1007 00:35:56,319 --> 00:35:55,040 know one of the other we know how far 1008 00:35:58,450 --> 00:35:56,329 away it is we know where to point the 1009 00:36:01,390 --> 00:35:58,460 telescope we know how far it is from its 1010 00:36:03,099 --> 00:36:01,400 start how much energy it gets and if we 1011 00:36:04,720 --> 00:36:03,109 again if we have mass and radius and 1012 00:36:06,609 --> 00:36:04,730 we're lucky in that way we can make some 1013 00:36:08,260 --> 00:36:06,619 guesses about composition and density 1014 00:36:11,349 --> 00:36:08,270 and things bulk composition and density 1015 00:36:15,790 --> 00:36:11,359 on but chances are we're not going to 1016 00:36:17,410 --> 00:36:15,800 have a lot of information and nearly not 1017 00:36:20,859 --> 00:36:17,420 nearly as much as as the Mars community 1018 00:36:23,020 --> 00:36:20,869 has when it comes to sex selection but 1019 00:36:24,370 --> 00:36:23,030 the biggest daily as the Mars program 1020 00:36:26,109 --> 00:36:24,380 was when we were figuring out what 1021 00:36:28,540 --> 00:36:26,119 instruments to put on the first mapping 1022 00:36:30,160 --> 00:36:28,550 orbiters and that was to say what are 1023 00:36:32,560 --> 00:36:30,170 the list of measurements that need to be 1024 00:36:35,859 --> 00:36:32,570 done to allow you the input to your 1025 00:36:37,540 --> 00:36:35,869 habitability factor or whatever and it 1026 00:36:39,640 --> 00:36:37,550 but it but the key thing is it's a short 1027 00:36:41,260 --> 00:36:39,650 list of observations and so the value of 1028 00:36:42,700 --> 00:36:41,270 thinking about a factors that you're 1029 00:36:44,680 --> 00:36:42,710 narrowing a list of all the darn things 1030 00:36:46,089 --> 00:36:44,690 you might want to observe to a smaller 1031 00:36:47,650 --> 00:36:46,099 more tractable list that you could 1032 00:36:49,930 --> 00:36:47,660 actually apply to us large number of 1033 00:36:52,030 --> 00:36:49,940 targets and so maybe you're sort of in 1034 00:36:53,829 --> 00:36:52,040 that period where the Mars program was 1035 00:36:56,079 --> 00:36:53,839 where you're arguing about types of 1036 00:37:02,890 --> 00:36:56,089 orbiters to send in order to get to that 1037 00:37:06,819 --> 00:37:02,900 next level of information so I just put 1038 00:37:11,140 --> 00:37:06,829 up a link and the link is to the PBS 1039 00:37:13,720 --> 00:37:11,150 Newshour on Tuesday and basically it's 1040 00:37:16,750 --> 00:37:13,730 geoff marcy talking about the kepler 1041 00:37:19,420 --> 00:37:16,760 results and at the end he makes a very 1042 00:37:22,630 --> 00:37:19,430 good point with respect to how said he 1043 00:37:25,150 --> 00:37:22,640 fits into all of us I don't know in the 1044 00:37:28,150 --> 00:37:25,160 current road map where said he shows up 1045 00:37:30,400 --> 00:37:28,160 if at all but I do think that there 1046 00:37:32,980 --> 00:37:30,410 ought to be a place where it can be 1047 00:37:35,290 --> 00:37:32,990 hooked in because it is a technique that 1048 00:37:38,319 --> 00:37:35,300 could of course transform our 1049 00:37:41,470 --> 00:37:38,329 understanding or at least our evidence 1050 00:37:43,220 --> 00:37:41,480 for life elsewhere and potential for 1051 00:37:46,550 --> 00:37:43,230 intelligent life is really 1052 00:37:49,370 --> 00:37:46,560 real estate question is anybody out 1053 00:37:51,530 --> 00:37:49,380 there do we already own it all but I 1054 00:37:55,820 --> 00:37:51,540 think that it ought to be kept in at 1055 00:38:03,130 --> 00:37:55,830 some point and I invite you to watch the 1056 00:38:11,740 --> 00:38:05,870 that I was done with that John speaking 1057 00:38:15,170 --> 00:38:11,750 yes how to death or related question our 1058 00:38:17,150 --> 00:38:15,180 artificial kinds of biogenic gas is 1059 00:38:18,650 --> 00:38:17,160 detectable on our earth as bio 1060 00:38:23,000 --> 00:38:18,660 signatures like industrial pollution 1061 00:38:25,099 --> 00:38:23,010 should we look for those too yeah I do 1062 00:38:27,590 --> 00:38:25,109 think that it's a lot easier to envision 1063 00:38:30,020 --> 00:38:27,600 detecting things that don't have to want 1064 00:38:33,290 --> 00:38:30,030 to be detected or haven't developed 1065 00:38:35,240 --> 00:38:33,300 their own NSA problems but I do also 1066 00:38:38,540 --> 00:38:35,250 think that it's an approach that is 1067 00:38:41,660 --> 00:38:38,550 legitimate you're and one that ought to 1068 00:38:48,050 --> 00:38:41,670 be pursued at some you know low level of 1069 00:38:50,450 --> 00:38:48,060 effort so the approach that I at least 1070 00:38:53,840 --> 00:38:50,460 right now have is when we find a planet 1071 00:38:56,000 --> 00:38:53,850 that has life on it in my mind that's 1072 00:38:58,849 --> 00:38:56,010 the point to really focus on study type 1073 00:39:00,200 --> 00:38:58,859 efforts on that object now there's one 1074 00:39:01,490 --> 00:39:00,210 exception of that a lot of the couple of 1075 00:39:03,200 --> 00:39:01,500 planets and this might have been part of 1076 00:39:04,910 --> 00:39:03,210 what Geoff Marcy was referring to a lot 1077 00:39:08,300 --> 00:39:04,920 of the Kepler objects are too far away 1078 00:39:11,180 --> 00:39:08,310 to do any detailed follow-up observation 1079 00:39:13,580 --> 00:39:11,190 with direct imaging and characterization 1080 00:39:15,650 --> 00:39:13,590 so even if we got a flagship level 1081 00:39:17,180 --> 00:39:15,660 telescope that can block out the light 1082 00:39:19,940 --> 00:39:17,190 of a contestar so that we can see the 1083 00:39:21,950 --> 00:39:19,950 planet even if we got that for many of 1084 00:39:23,720 --> 00:39:21,960 the kepler planet specifically we would 1085 00:39:25,520 --> 00:39:23,730 not be able to see the planet we are 1086 00:39:27,109 --> 00:39:25,530 because they're too far away or I'm 1087 00:39:28,730 --> 00:39:27,119 going to be able to see and directly 1088 00:39:30,740 --> 00:39:28,740 image the planets that our culture to us 1089 00:39:32,180 --> 00:39:30,750 for those planets that are in the 1090 00:39:34,130 --> 00:39:32,190 habitable zone and are of the right size 1091 00:39:35,900 --> 00:39:34,140 to be habitable the next step 1092 00:39:38,030 --> 00:39:35,910 scientifically to probe those planets 1093 00:39:39,410 --> 00:39:38,040 for life is setting is to listen for 1094 00:39:40,820 --> 00:39:39,420 radio transmissions or something like 1095 00:39:42,710 --> 00:39:40,830 that that's the only thing you can do 1096 00:39:46,280 --> 00:39:42,720 next although then maybe some if you can 1097 00:39:47,810 --> 00:39:46,290 get some spectroscopic some transit 1098 00:39:50,510 --> 00:39:47,820 spectroscopy you might be able to get 1099 00:39:52,340 --> 00:39:50,520 something out of that but absent a new 1100 00:39:54,320 --> 00:39:52,350 mission or a new technique that i 1101 00:39:56,180 --> 00:39:54,330 haven't seen mentioned by people that's 1102 00:39:56,980 --> 00:39:56,190 sort of the next step okay so that's one 1103 00:39:59,260 --> 00:39:56,990 place study 1104 00:40:02,109 --> 00:39:59,270 and the other is something similar to 1105 00:40:03,910 --> 00:40:02,119 what will discuss which is sort of 1106 00:40:05,770 --> 00:40:03,920 piggybacking if you're looking at a 1107 00:40:07,810 --> 00:40:05,780 planet as Nancy suggested and you're 1108 00:40:12,540 --> 00:40:07,820 looking for oxygen and methane and ozone 1109 00:40:15,040 --> 00:40:12,550 and a and clearly industrial non-natural 1110 00:40:17,230 --> 00:40:15,050 non-biological non geological gasp pops 1111 00:40:19,120 --> 00:40:17,240 up in your spectrum with a very clear 1112 00:40:20,260 --> 00:40:19,130 distinguishable feature now that's 1113 00:40:21,940 --> 00:40:20,270 something that's interesting and 1114 00:40:25,060 --> 00:40:21,950 interesting with with regards to 1115 00:40:28,690 --> 00:40:25,070 intelligence I think there's also the 1116 00:40:30,330 --> 00:40:28,700 possibility that if these if a Eddie 1117 00:40:32,710 --> 00:40:30,340 exists at the National terrestrial 1118 00:40:35,710 --> 00:40:32,720 society existed and they lived in the 1119 00:40:38,290 --> 00:40:35,720 right system may also might choose to 1120 00:40:41,170 --> 00:40:38,300 alter the climate of planets in that 1121 00:40:42,190 --> 00:40:41,180 system to suit themselves and that and 1122 00:40:44,140 --> 00:40:42,200 the owners i mentioned that is that's 1123 00:40:46,000 --> 00:40:44,150 going to be a bigger signature on the 1124 00:40:48,790 --> 00:40:46,010 atmosphere because they're so 1125 00:40:51,280 --> 00:40:48,800 dramatically altering the climate then a 1126 00:40:53,560 --> 00:40:51,290 pollution signature would be pollution 1127 00:40:55,390 --> 00:40:53,570 signature because if it's pollution you 1128 00:40:56,320 --> 00:40:55,400 generally don't want to keep doing it 1129 00:40:58,000 --> 00:40:56,330 forever and so it's going to be 1130 00:41:00,070 --> 00:40:58,010 short-lived so we have to get the right 1131 00:41:02,440 --> 00:41:00,080 timing on an astronomical timescale to 1132 00:41:04,990 --> 00:41:02,450 see it and generally they don't affect 1133 00:41:06,730 --> 00:41:05,000 the climate radiation budget too much 1134 00:41:08,020 --> 00:41:06,740 and so they don't have large features 1135 00:41:10,359 --> 00:41:08,030 and unless we have a super high 1136 00:41:11,560 --> 00:41:10,369 resolution telescope in terms of 1137 00:41:13,330 --> 00:41:11,570 wavelength the wavenumber we're not 1138 00:41:15,430 --> 00:41:13,340 going to go to detect them if you're 1139 00:41:16,720 --> 00:41:15,440 going to see and extraterrestrial 1140 00:41:19,090 --> 00:41:16,730 intelligence chances are they're going 1141 00:41:20,170 --> 00:41:19,100 to be having some huge effect on the 1142 00:41:23,109 --> 00:41:20,180 radiative transfer budget of the 1143 00:41:24,730 --> 00:41:23,119 atmosphere the most likely case is that 1144 00:41:25,810 --> 00:41:24,740 they're altering the climate of another 1145 00:41:27,520 --> 00:41:25,820 planet now I don't think that that's 1146 00:41:29,590 --> 00:41:27,530 particularly likely that we're going to 1147 00:41:31,090 --> 00:41:29,600 see that but I think I'm afraid it's not 1148 00:41:32,800 --> 00:41:31,100 most likely that's the most detectable 1149 00:41:34,450 --> 00:41:32,810 case that's a better way to phrase it I 1150 00:41:36,160 --> 00:41:34,460 don't think it's very likely but at 1151 00:41:40,120 --> 00:41:36,170 least if that was happening it would be 1152 00:41:42,760 --> 00:41:40,130 more easily detectable but you get up 1153 00:41:44,650 --> 00:41:42,770 for free well yet right so I don't just 1154 00:41:47,620 --> 00:41:44,660 agree with their your general concepts 1155 00:41:50,980 --> 00:41:47,630 but I do think that it's important that 1156 00:41:53,590 --> 00:41:50,990 we adopt the principle that the highest 1157 00:41:56,440 --> 00:41:53,600 priority science isn't the only thing 1158 00:41:58,210 --> 00:41:56,450 that gets funded otherwise we would stop 1159 00:41:59,920 --> 00:41:58,220 looking until we had that sunlight 1160 00:42:02,740 --> 00:41:59,930 suppression technology that you had 1161 00:42:04,540 --> 00:42:02,750 called for earlier you know there are 1162 00:42:07,030 --> 00:42:04,550 many different ways to go about this 1163 00:42:09,950 --> 00:42:07,040 when people were first starting to look 1164 00:42:13,460 --> 00:42:09,960 for exoplanets it was considered that 1165 00:42:15,589 --> 00:42:13,470 if you didn't have specific kinds of 1166 00:42:20,210 --> 00:42:15,599 telescope never be able to do with this 1167 00:42:21,920 --> 00:42:20,220 but in fact the way that planets were 1168 00:42:24,470 --> 00:42:21,930 getting detected from the Earth's 1169 00:42:26,180 --> 00:42:24,480 surface was completely different than 1170 00:42:28,970 --> 00:42:26,190 what everybody said you had to have in 1171 00:42:33,140 --> 00:42:28,980 the way of a mission and so I think it's 1172 00:42:36,650 --> 00:42:33,150 important to consider the effort as a 1173 00:42:38,390 --> 00:42:36,660 legitimate one not worry about sinking a 1174 00:42:40,450 --> 00:42:38,400 whole lot of money into it we're already 1175 00:42:43,099 --> 00:42:40,460 going to build a square kilometer array 1176 00:42:45,640 --> 00:42:43,109 whether we like it or not I mean it 1177 00:42:48,650 --> 00:42:45,650 doesn't really address these issues 1178 00:42:51,560 --> 00:42:48,660 specifically and just you know keep it 1179 00:42:54,320 --> 00:42:51,570 in as something that has the continuity 1180 00:42:57,280 --> 00:42:54,330 so that you don't leave it on the 1181 00:43:01,400 --> 00:42:57,290 cutting room floor in a way that is 1182 00:43:05,390 --> 00:43:01,410 essentially intellectually not justified 1183 00:43:08,240 --> 00:43:05,400 so I'm monetarily you know we paid a 1184 00:43:10,160 --> 00:43:08,250 bunch for SETI over the years but by 1185 00:43:12,470 --> 00:43:10,170 comparison to anything we've done in the 1186 00:43:15,010 --> 00:43:12,480 International Space Station or any other 1187 00:43:17,690 --> 00:43:15,020 space mission it's been a chump change 1188 00:43:20,060 --> 00:43:17,700 and just to emphasize that point 1189 00:43:22,579 --> 00:43:20,070 everything that I discussed it at Nancy 1190 00:43:24,410 --> 00:43:22,589 mentioned at this point is more or less 1191 00:43:27,410 --> 00:43:24,420 theoretical I don't think we've done as 1192 00:43:29,780 --> 00:43:27,420 nearly a thorough of a job looking at 1193 00:43:32,630 --> 00:43:29,790 the potential industrial civilization 1194 00:43:35,150 --> 00:43:32,640 bio signatures or techno signatures as 1195 00:43:37,040 --> 00:43:35,160 we have four more generic biosignatures 1196 00:43:38,839 --> 00:43:37,050 and the reason is we're prioritizing the 1197 00:43:40,370 --> 00:43:38,849 bio signatures but you're right we don't 1198 00:43:42,440 --> 00:43:40,380 want to prioritize them to the exclusion 1199 00:43:44,420 --> 00:43:42,450 of these other things that we might one 1200 00:43:46,880 --> 00:43:44,430 day see especially when the big cost 1201 00:43:48,200 --> 00:43:46,890 which is the mission is is the same 1202 00:43:49,579 --> 00:43:48,210 because you can run the same mission to 1203 00:43:52,970 --> 00:43:49,589 get to the same mission will give you 1204 00:43:54,710 --> 00:43:52,980 both datasets so you're I completely 1205 00:43:58,550 --> 00:43:54,720 agree we don't want to prioritize one 1206 00:44:03,290 --> 00:43:58,560 thing to the exclusion of the other it's 1207 00:44:07,490 --> 00:44:03,300 pretty nice to have all the link so 1208 00:44:09,770 --> 00:44:07,500 other other topics other directions that 1209 00:44:11,870 --> 00:44:09,780 we would be awful should be thinking 1210 00:44:18,800 --> 00:44:11,880 about what else might we suggest to help 1211 00:44:28,740 --> 00:44:21,540 so daisy marie likes the idea of the 1212 00:44:30,240 --> 00:44:28,750 glossary a lot and we're trying to 1213 00:44:33,329 --> 00:44:30,250 highlight two things in the glossary one 1214 00:44:36,150 --> 00:44:33,339 is terms that might not be common in 1215 00:44:38,370 --> 00:44:36,160 other fields and the other is war and 1216 00:44:41,339 --> 00:44:38,380 potentially worse words that are common 1217 00:44:43,380 --> 00:44:41,349 in use differently in other fields does 1218 00:44:49,800 --> 00:44:43,390 anybody want to suggest editor terms 1219 00:44:52,260 --> 00:44:49,810 besides the ones John put up or email us 1220 00:44:55,079 --> 00:44:52,270 if you figure essence or comment on the 1221 00:44:57,420 --> 00:44:55,089 document okay and they've also had a 1222 00:44:59,970 --> 00:44:57,430 suggestion to include the techno 1223 00:45:01,680 --> 00:44:59,980 signatures in the document which Nancy 1224 00:45:05,460 --> 00:45:01,690 said she that we weren't and I agree we 1225 00:45:07,859 --> 00:45:05,470 should the document will be switched 1226 00:45:10,050 --> 00:45:07,869 over the comment mode as soon as this 1227 00:45:12,599 --> 00:45:10,060 webinar is finished and just in case 1228 00:45:14,550 --> 00:45:12,609 anyone hasn't done this before all you 1229 00:45:16,829 --> 00:45:14,560 do is you home line two piece of text 1230 00:45:18,870 --> 00:45:16,839 right click and choose comment and you 1231 00:45:20,820 --> 00:45:18,880 can stick the equivalent of a post-it 1232 00:45:25,109 --> 00:45:20,830 note on me on the edge of the document 1233 00:45:27,839 --> 00:45:25,119 for that any other questions any other 1234 00:45:31,890 --> 00:45:27,849 points that people want to raise around 1235 00:45:35,099 --> 00:45:31,900 this topic yeah I'll challenge this 1236 00:45:37,280 --> 00:45:35,109 deviant's I you know they've made it 1237 00:45:42,000 --> 00:45:37,290 worry about the embarrassment of riches 1238 00:45:45,000 --> 00:45:42,010 there were certain words I and then 1239 00:45:46,170 --> 00:45:45,010 Shawn you know you responded saying well 1240 00:45:48,570 --> 00:45:46,180 maybe maybe the embarrassment of riches 1241 00:45:51,150 --> 00:45:48,580 a little more meager than that parallel 1242 00:45:54,000 --> 00:45:51,160 Hydra is where we were with regard to 1243 00:45:56,760 --> 00:45:54,010 observation of the outer solar system in 1244 00:45:58,680 --> 00:45:56,770 early 70s when infrared spectroscopy was 1245 00:46:00,750 --> 00:45:58,690 just coming online and then you know we 1246 00:46:02,339 --> 00:46:00,760 had we knew there are a lot of objects 1247 00:46:04,530 --> 00:46:02,349 out there and we were just beginning to 1248 00:46:06,570 --> 00:46:04,540 see transit and to be able to look at 1249 00:46:08,310 --> 00:46:06,580 insphere compositions I'm excited that 1250 00:46:09,750 --> 00:46:08,320 you know the left the intervening four 1251 00:46:11,550 --> 00:46:09,760 years have allowed us to get 1252 00:46:13,680 --> 00:46:11,560 increasingly more detailed information 1253 00:46:15,510 --> 00:46:13,690 and even a spatially resolved from these 1254 00:46:19,050 --> 00:46:15,520 features so it's very analogous to every 1255 00:46:20,609 --> 00:46:19,060 planet discovery I'm happy that there's 1256 00:46:22,829 --> 00:46:20,619 a possibility of those fields will kind 1257 00:46:28,750 --> 00:46:22,839 of move together and ask some of the 1258 00:46:35,380 --> 00:46:31,960 that's totally great I think that's a 1259 00:46:38,260 --> 00:46:35,390 great analogy and um one thing that we 1260 00:46:40,630 --> 00:46:38,270 didn't talk about is I think there's 1261 00:46:41,680 --> 00:46:40,640 some room and I've seen Dave Spiegel 1262 00:46:43,090 --> 00:46:41,690 mentioned this in a facebook 1263 00:46:45,820 --> 00:46:43,100 conversation outside of conversations 1264 00:46:48,250 --> 00:46:45,830 with Brittany Schmidt about this in car 1265 00:46:50,680 --> 00:46:48,260 rides around DC is the possibility to 1266 00:46:52,000 --> 00:46:50,690 look to look at solar system objects and 1267 00:46:55,720 --> 00:46:52,010 then particularly the outer solar system 1268 00:46:57,340 --> 00:46:55,730 objects as analogs for exoplanets one 1269 00:46:59,620 --> 00:46:57,350 question that I don't think we've 1270 00:47:01,870 --> 00:46:59,630 adequately addressed is I mentioned this 1271 00:47:06,460 --> 00:47:01,880 in yesterday's yesterday's webinar is 1272 00:47:09,640 --> 00:47:06,470 whether or not a giant icy world could 1273 00:47:12,490 --> 00:47:09,650 have a remotely detectable gaseous by 1274 00:47:13,840 --> 00:47:12,500 signature so imagine if I want to click 1275 00:47:16,000 --> 00:47:13,850 in corn the term super you wrote though 1276 00:47:18,070 --> 00:47:16,010 a planet like your oppa what the size of 1277 00:47:19,660 --> 00:47:18,080 worth it has enough grab mass and 1278 00:47:21,910 --> 00:47:19,670 gravity to hold on to and retain an 1279 00:47:23,470 --> 00:47:21,920 atmosphere is there enough communication 1280 00:47:25,060 --> 00:47:23,480 between the subsurface and the 1281 00:47:26,650 --> 00:47:25,070 atmosphere of that planet for the 1282 00:47:29,440 --> 00:47:26,660 atmosphere to accumulate a bio signature 1283 00:47:31,990 --> 00:47:29,450 from the subsurface we often assume 1284 00:47:33,490 --> 00:47:32,000 Europa is not if it has life that life 1285 00:47:36,460 --> 00:47:33,500 wouldn't be detectable across 1286 00:47:39,010 --> 00:47:36,470 interstellar space I totally agree with 1287 00:47:41,500 --> 00:47:39,020 that assessment if there was a true 1288 00:47:42,550 --> 00:47:41,510 Europa analog in another system we 1289 00:47:44,200 --> 00:47:42,560 really would have no shot at 1290 00:47:46,810 --> 00:47:44,210 characterizing any life that existed in 1291 00:47:48,610 --> 00:47:46,820 the subsurface but I don't think we've 1292 00:47:50,380 --> 00:47:48,620 answered whether that's because the 1293 00:47:52,390 --> 00:47:50,390 planet is too small or whether there's 1294 00:47:55,810 --> 00:47:52,400 too little communication between sub 1295 00:47:58,150 --> 00:47:55,820 surface and the surface if it's really 1296 00:48:00,280 --> 00:47:58,160 the latter that's holding us up then 1297 00:48:02,170 --> 00:48:00,290 there's there's no shot at detecting 1298 00:48:03,550 --> 00:48:02,180 there's no communication you're not 1299 00:48:04,840 --> 00:48:03,560 going to see the past year if there's 1300 00:48:06,220 --> 00:48:04,850 communication and the problem with your 1301 00:48:07,450 --> 00:48:06,230 face it's not holding on to the 1302 00:48:09,340 --> 00:48:07,460 atmosphere that would retain that 1303 00:48:11,470 --> 00:48:09,350 communication well then we've got a shot 1304 00:48:13,030 --> 00:48:11,480 if we find a stupid Europa elsewhere and 1305 00:48:14,800 --> 00:48:13,040 it doesn't necessarily have to be 1306 00:48:16,810 --> 00:48:14,810 managed it has to have enough tidal 1307 00:48:19,510 --> 00:48:16,820 energy to maintain a liquid water so I 1308 00:48:20,950 --> 00:48:19,520 just want to throw that out there not 1309 00:48:23,080 --> 00:48:20,960 that that was seized point but it's 1310 00:48:25,750 --> 00:48:23,090 related to this whole outer source 1311 00:48:27,160 --> 00:48:25,760 system as an analog for after soul event 1312 00:48:29,020 --> 00:48:27,170 and I point it's close to my heart I 1313 00:48:32,410 --> 00:48:29,030 worry that your superhero but maybe more 1314 00:48:34,210 --> 00:48:32,420 akin to a super Ganymede super gonorrhea 1315 00:48:36,640 --> 00:48:34,220 and spurs may be a sweet spot though 1316 00:48:38,470 --> 00:48:36,650 where that kind of detection as possible 1317 00:48:42,070 --> 00:48:38,480 I'm wondering how that factors into 1318 00:48:42,579 --> 00:48:42,080 whether you can see signatures of what's 1319 00:48:44,319 --> 00:48:42,589 happening 1320 00:48:48,400 --> 00:48:44,329 in the deeper interior what are the 1321 00:48:50,769 --> 00:48:48,410 neurological aspects to tell you um if I 1322 00:48:53,499 --> 00:48:50,779 tectonics is occurring I said a metal 1323 00:48:55,180 --> 00:48:53,509 core I doubt those sort of things are 1324 00:48:58,150 --> 00:48:55,190 directly communicated to the atmosphere 1325 00:48:59,589 --> 00:48:58,160 but I don't know Venus and Earth are 1326 00:49:01,390 --> 00:48:59,599 definitely two different planets that 1327 00:49:06,099 --> 00:49:01,400 have atmospheric signatures and what's 1328 00:49:07,209 --> 00:49:06,109 what their interior doing you would 1329 00:49:13,870 --> 00:49:07,219 definitely know better than I would 1330 00:49:33,420 --> 00:49:13,880 excuse fair enough so make sure that's 1331 00:49:37,329 --> 00:49:33,430 in there i guess like fast typing yeah 1332 00:49:40,630 --> 00:49:37,339 TV news so Glenn has another point in 1333 00:49:42,309 --> 00:49:40,640 here in addition to advances and 1334 00:49:44,680 --> 00:49:42,319 observation and detection capabilities 1335 00:49:46,950 --> 00:49:44,690 we need advances to deal with a large 1336 00:49:48,729 --> 00:49:46,960 datasets statistical analyses 1337 00:49:52,089 --> 00:49:48,739 computational models data mining 1338 00:49:53,289 --> 00:49:52,099 analysis technology etc yep that's 1339 00:49:55,479 --> 00:49:53,299 that's one of the think the big 1340 00:49:58,509 --> 00:49:55,489 priorities is you know data retrieval 1341 00:50:00,489 --> 00:49:58,519 and data assessment and that's something 1342 00:50:02,140 --> 00:50:00,499 that we're we're really just getting 1343 00:50:04,059 --> 00:50:02,150 started on and if you if you're 1344 00:50:08,339 --> 00:50:04,069 interested in that there is some 1345 00:50:10,749 --> 00:50:08,349 preliminary work on gas giants spectral 1346 00:50:13,239 --> 00:50:10,759 analysis but so we've got some spectra 1347 00:50:14,890 --> 00:50:13,249 already of exoplanets but no one really 1348 00:50:17,019 --> 00:50:14,900 thinks they're the planets that we've 1349 00:50:20,200 --> 00:50:17,029 got spectra for habitable the closest 1350 00:50:22,479 --> 00:50:20,210 thing is probably Gliese at 1214b which 1351 00:50:24,219 --> 00:50:22,489 is a planet that has a few times the 1352 00:50:27,219 --> 00:50:24,229 mass of the Earth I remember exactly how 1353 00:50:28,989 --> 00:50:27,229 many times in SEOs GJ 1214b is but 1354 00:50:30,789 --> 00:50:28,999 that's why they closed the most 1355 00:50:31,930 --> 00:50:30,799 habitable exoplanet Leah the spectrum of 1356 00:50:34,120 --> 00:50:31,940 and I don't think anyone thinks it's 1357 00:50:36,160 --> 00:50:34,130 habitable at anyway we have spectra 1358 00:50:37,660 --> 00:50:36,170 people started to analyze those spectra 1359 00:50:39,910 --> 00:50:37,670 and you've started to do it with 1360 00:50:44,759 --> 00:50:39,920 somewhat automated tools that try to get 1361 00:50:47,049 --> 00:50:44,769 at the most statistically likely 1362 00:50:49,180 --> 00:50:47,059 atmosphere that would explain the data 1363 00:50:50,979 --> 00:50:49,190 set that have so the people are just 1364 00:50:52,569 --> 00:50:50,989 started to do that work we need to 1365 00:50:55,120 --> 00:50:52,579 improve the self consistency of those 1366 00:50:55,820 --> 00:50:55,130 techniques we need to ramp them up in 1367 00:50:57,770 --> 00:50:55,830 terms of their 1368 00:50:59,840 --> 00:50:57,780 spectral resolution for when we get 1369 00:51:02,000 --> 00:50:59,850 higher resolution spectra of stuff like 1370 00:51:03,950 --> 00:51:02,010 that so we're doing it but as a 1371 00:51:09,380 --> 00:51:03,960 community but we're just getting started 1372 00:51:12,620 --> 00:51:09,390 and then alex is just raising a question 1373 00:51:14,510 --> 00:51:12,630 about distinguishing between pric and 1374 00:51:19,970 --> 00:51:14,520 unsee with substantial amounts of 1375 00:51:21,890 --> 00:51:19,980 organic mastering it can we do that Alex 1376 00:51:26,480 --> 00:51:21,900 do you want to elaborate are you on the 1377 00:51:28,670 --> 00:51:26,490 phone should be the lines open it's 1378 00:51:31,640 --> 00:51:28,680 basically towards you I mean you brought 1379 00:51:34,160 --> 00:51:31,650 it up about the exchange between imagine 1380 00:51:36,530 --> 00:51:34,170 you have super super super European says 1381 00:51:39,350 --> 00:51:36,540 right you know and there is some 1382 00:51:42,080 --> 00:51:39,360 exchange between subsurface bias here 1383 00:51:43,790 --> 00:51:42,090 with the atmosphere but you know I mean 1384 00:51:45,590 --> 00:51:43,800 to the very least you would have to have 1385 00:51:47,810 --> 00:51:45,600 some exchange between waters with the 1386 00:51:50,270 --> 00:51:47,820 surface is right you know you have to 1387 00:51:54,500 --> 00:51:50,280 have a migration there is there is such 1388 00:51:56,840 --> 00:51:54,510 transfer material in Europa but I just 1389 00:51:58,340 --> 00:51:56,850 don't know how sensitive i think is all 1390 00:52:00,800 --> 00:51:58,350 be the changing is there something 1391 00:52:03,140 --> 00:52:00,810 actually in the form reflected white 1392 00:52:04,760 --> 00:52:03,150 which you can say if you have if you 1393 00:52:06,590 --> 00:52:04,770 have substantial month organics nice 1394 00:52:09,380 --> 00:52:06,600 weather you can distinguish one versus 1395 00:52:11,810 --> 00:52:09,390 the other I just have no clue what that 1396 00:52:13,790 --> 00:52:11,820 is i'm just educating this might get 1397 00:52:15,560 --> 00:52:13,800 this might be a case where you wouldn't 1398 00:52:18,710 --> 00:52:15,570 need that atmosphere like is the the 1399 00:52:21,020 --> 00:52:18,720 signature is embedded in the surface the 1400 00:52:25,700 --> 00:52:21,030 john r mo just said organic so consider 1401 00:52:28,760 --> 00:52:25,710 are all detectable John you want 1402 00:52:31,880 --> 00:52:28,770 elaborate oh no I mean if you take a 1403 00:52:34,100 --> 00:52:31,890 look at the spectrum if you look at what 1404 00:52:36,410 --> 00:52:34,110 we get reflected off of your open al I 1405 00:52:39,140 --> 00:52:36,420 mean we have Tom accord and his 1406 00:52:41,990 --> 00:52:39,150 instrument you know showing high salt 1407 00:52:45,410 --> 00:52:42,000 concentrations in different places pure 1408 00:52:48,140 --> 00:52:45,420 ice is white and now we are of course of 1409 00:52:50,840 --> 00:52:48,150 God you know God headed to series where 1410 00:52:53,390 --> 00:52:50,850 there's some really intriguing recent 1411 00:52:56,840 --> 00:52:53,400 observations that suggested it's going 1412 00:53:05,600 --> 00:52:56,850 to be much more very dated than we might 1413 00:53:08,730 --> 00:53:05,610 have hoped god I'm so with this I think 1414 00:53:10,440 --> 00:53:08,740 I can make the plans as well 1415 00:53:14,700 --> 00:53:10,450 and if you I think Alex and John you 1416 00:53:19,050 --> 00:53:14,710 guys shouldn't do this I think knowledge 1417 00:53:21,480 --> 00:53:19,060 is Alex were you making point again Alex 1418 00:53:24,120 --> 00:53:21,490 Alex can you speak a little louder to 1419 00:53:25,560 --> 00:53:24,130 Mike isn't picking you up very well I'm 1420 00:53:27,600 --> 00:53:25,570 just saying so is this a legitimate 1421 00:53:32,250 --> 00:53:27,610 strategy for example anis as well in 1422 00:53:34,470 --> 00:53:32,260 some kind of future when if you know if 1423 00:53:36,480 --> 00:53:34,480 you have if you will be able to study 1424 00:53:40,410 --> 00:53:36,490 albedo of that exit planet you know will 1425 00:53:43,560 --> 00:53:40,420 you be able to see to see those features 1426 00:53:45,920 --> 00:53:43,570 I mean that I'm just curious um it's 1427 00:53:49,740 --> 00:53:45,930 such a it's such a small signal that is 1428 00:53:51,930 --> 00:53:49,750 not a viable strategy at all to see if 1429 00:53:57,510 --> 00:53:51,940 you have any kind of organics in that in 1430 00:53:59,310 --> 00:53:57,520 that frozen planet point there would be 1431 00:54:02,580 --> 00:53:59,320 little atmosphere to have to go through 1432 00:54:04,470 --> 00:54:02,590 right somebody right right so you have 1433 00:54:06,900 --> 00:54:04,480 an icy bowl you know your plan serious 1434 00:54:09,300 --> 00:54:06,910 frozen out you know it's not tapping the 1435 00:54:10,980 --> 00:54:09,310 bowl on the surface you know but you 1436 00:54:12,510 --> 00:54:10,990 have if there's something in the 1437 00:54:13,680 --> 00:54:12,520 subsurface presumably there is always 1438 00:54:16,470 --> 00:54:13,690 migration because there's all the 1439 00:54:19,140 --> 00:54:16,480 sublimation of ice I was a transfer of 1440 00:54:20,400 --> 00:54:19,150 ice from Equatorial to polar regions so 1441 00:54:21,990 --> 00:54:20,410 you will have to bring some of the 1442 00:54:24,810 --> 00:54:22,000 material up to the surface soon or later 1443 00:54:26,220 --> 00:54:24,820 so is it possible to distinguish valve 1444 00:54:30,020 --> 00:54:26,230 either those features if you have 1445 00:54:34,620 --> 00:54:30,030 organics in them in that frozen world 1446 00:54:41,910 --> 00:54:34,630 that's all I think is a good idea to 1447 00:54:43,859 --> 00:54:41,920 explore hi gfs on it seems like the 1448 00:54:45,660 --> 00:54:43,869 defense pointed out the atmosphere being 1449 00:54:47,580 --> 00:54:45,670 tenuous means that yeah you should have 1450 00:54:52,500 --> 00:54:47,590 access to spectral features from the 1451 00:54:54,810 --> 00:54:52,510 surface but it's at this point it's an 1452 00:54:57,390 --> 00:54:54,820 interesting analogy to make to Europa 1453 00:54:58,950 --> 00:54:57,400 and studying the cycling between an 1454 00:55:01,230 --> 00:54:58,960 ocean and what you might get up to the 1455 00:55:03,960 --> 00:55:01,240 surface out might change chemically is 1456 00:55:05,910 --> 00:55:03,970 it transits to the surface and then what 1457 00:55:08,400 --> 00:55:05,920 the radiation environment at the surface 1458 00:55:09,599 --> 00:55:08,410 does to those chemicals and whether or 1459 00:55:12,330 --> 00:55:09,609 not you could interpret those these are 1460 00:55:15,150 --> 00:55:12,340 all really interesting questions well I 1461 00:55:17,010 --> 00:55:15,160 think those where here's we're being 1462 00:55:19,800 --> 00:55:17,020 able to detect a magnetic field remotely 1463 00:55:21,270 --> 00:55:19,810 five factors into habitability I think 1464 00:55:23,690 --> 00:55:21,280 this came up in previous 1465 00:55:26,160 --> 00:55:23,700 discussion whether we should consider 1466 00:55:28,710 --> 00:55:26,170 detecting a magnetic field as something 1467 00:55:30,660 --> 00:55:28,720 that's relevant availability both from 1468 00:55:32,490 --> 00:55:30,670 the standpoint of the earth analogy and 1469 00:55:35,310 --> 00:55:32,500 also from the standpoint of the Jupiter 1470 00:55:37,260 --> 00:55:35,320 system analogy the Jupiter system being 1471 00:55:40,380 --> 00:55:37,270 one in which the magnetic field is a 1472 00:55:42,150 --> 00:55:40,390 driver for radiation at the surface and 1473 00:55:47,430 --> 00:55:42,160 ability would be a really relevant thing 1474 00:55:50,520 --> 00:55:47,440 for astrobiology the ski film yeah that 1475 00:55:52,080 --> 00:55:50,530 was yeah that was me and more broadly I 1476 00:55:53,820 --> 00:55:52,090 think we have to go beyond the water and 1477 00:55:55,020 --> 00:55:53,830 think about things other than the 1478 00:55:56,880 --> 00:55:55,030 presence of work with water and 1479 00:55:59,250 --> 00:55:56,890 specifically beyond the presence of 1480 00:56:01,110 --> 00:55:59,260 surface liquid water as compared to as a 1481 00:56:02,550 --> 00:56:01,120 concern of habitability we want to know 1482 00:56:04,500 --> 00:56:02,560 more than just that the cases the 1483 00:56:06,410 --> 00:56:04,510 weather isn't the water and we also need 1484 00:56:10,280 --> 00:56:06,420 to consider other other possibilities 1485 00:56:12,390 --> 00:56:10,290 things that could have impact like um 1486 00:56:14,220 --> 00:56:12,400 Alex I think the answer your question is 1487 00:56:16,820 --> 00:56:14,230 that we got from panels theoretically 1488 00:56:19,640 --> 00:56:16,830 yes we could look at this sort of thing 1489 00:56:23,340 --> 00:56:19,650 practically I think you and John should 1490 00:56:25,230 --> 00:56:23,350 look at that and find out what the 1491 00:56:26,400 --> 00:56:25,240 answer is see how big a spectral 1492 00:56:29,070 --> 00:56:26,410 signature we could get from a surface 1493 00:56:31,200 --> 00:56:29,080 how deep that feature is and how broad 1494 00:56:37,770 --> 00:56:31,210 it is and how that matches up to 1495 00:56:39,900 --> 00:56:37,780 proposed instrumentation I'm not 1496 00:56:42,540 --> 00:56:39,910 inspector guy just now how how quickly 1497 00:56:44,880 --> 00:56:42,550 our guidance can be degraded in the Indy 1498 00:56:48,300 --> 00:56:44,890 Isis or in the soil is pending on the 1499 00:56:50,700 --> 00:56:48,310 flocks of radiation and that's possible 1500 00:56:52,170 --> 00:56:50,710 fast and you know but you guys when you 1501 00:56:54,840 --> 00:56:52,180 should feature data than answer your tie 1502 00:56:57,240 --> 00:56:54,850 and they can make prospectus for you we 1503 00:56:59,670 --> 00:56:57,250 will seek out the appropriate expert to 1504 00:57:01,080 --> 00:56:59,680 engage them in this question yeah well 1505 00:57:02,430 --> 00:57:01,090 have as you pointed out John will have 1506 00:57:06,960 --> 00:57:02,440 some good data from serious to base 1507 00:57:11,160 --> 00:57:06,970 things on okay lowest in two or three 1508 00:57:14,160 --> 00:57:11,170 minutes of the webinar other any amounts 1509 00:57:16,860 --> 00:57:14,170 with people into the chip in the 1510 00:57:19,530 --> 00:57:16,870 document is now open for commenting if 1511 00:57:21,580 --> 00:57:19,540 you've got it open at the moment close 1512 00:57:24,790 --> 00:57:21,590 it and reopen it Emile your 1513 00:57:27,700 --> 00:57:24,800 be able to to make your comments but any 1514 00:57:32,290 --> 00:57:27,710 other last thoughts before before move 1515 00:57:33,880 --> 00:57:32,300 on Steve appears to have found the 1516 00:57:36,730 --> 00:57:33,890 applause button I didn't know there was 1517 00:57:39,160 --> 00:57:36,740 one of elephants kidding oh yeah there's 1518 00:57:42,460 --> 00:57:39,170 a quite a few little commentary buttons 1519 00:57:44,560 --> 00:57:42,470 smiley face oh cool well we can all the 1520 00:57:48,220 --> 00:57:44,570 muse ourselves now but now I'm comment 1521 00:57:54,280 --> 00:57:48,230 button I'm sure to be there in the next 1522 00:57:56,050 --> 00:57:54,290 relation okay no other comments thank 1523 00:57:59,530 --> 00:57:56,060 you very much to our presenters please 1524 00:58:03,250 --> 00:57:59,540 go and add your thoughts to the document 1525 00:58:05,830 --> 00:58:03,260 and if there any discussion items that 1526 00:58:08,590 --> 00:58:05,840 people on Toronto if we if the document 1527 00:58:10,840 --> 00:58:08,600 is too constraining in the sense of your 1528 00:58:13,780 --> 00:58:10,850 comments you really want to discuss more 1529 00:58:15,760 --> 00:58:13,790 so I just send a note to support at no 1530 00:58:18,130 --> 00:58:15,770 innovation calm and we can open up a 1531 00:58:19,750 --> 00:58:18,140 discussion thread for you we haven't 1532 00:58:21,550 --> 00:58:19,760 they did to do it so far it seems to be 1533 00:58:25,540 --> 00:58:21,560 but commenting directly and the document 1534 00:58:27,430 --> 00:58:25,550 works well but if you need greater space 1535 00:58:31,170 --> 00:58:27,440 for developing thoughts then of course 1536 00:58:34,030 --> 00:58:31,180 we can set up way hmm wonder that and 1537 00:58:38,680 --> 00:58:34,040 will just allow join to finish typing 1538 00:58:41,200 --> 00:58:38,690 and then we Laura draw to a close all 1539 00:58:42,880 --> 00:58:41,210 right looks like that's that okay thank 1540 00:58:46,750 --> 00:58:42,890 you very much everyone she really every